Points
57Points expected by the market
56.54Gap
+0.46Yield
−9.5%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 6 | 13 | −0.96 | −15.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 15 | 33 | +4.96 | +13.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 10 | −1.37 | −4.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 1 | −2.17 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 6 | 13 | −0.96 | −15.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 19 | +5.69 | +47.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 3 | −1.11 | −23.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −0.70 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 14 | −0.72 | −16.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 7 | −0.26 | +5.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 1 | −1.48 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Rennes · Away18 Aug 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.21 | −1.21 |
| M2 | Monaco · Home24 Aug 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.32 | −2.53 |
| M3 | Strasbourg · Home30 Aug 2024 | W 4-3 | 3 | +1.33 | −1.20 |
| M4 | Lens · Away15 Sep 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.08 | −1.12 |
| M5 | Marseille · Home22 Sep 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.27 | −2.40 |
| M6 | Toulouse · Away29 Sep 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.74 | −0.66 |
| M7 | Nantes · Home6 Oct 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.07 | +0.41 |
| M8 | Le Havre · Away20 Oct 2024 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.09 | +1.50 |
| M9 | Auxerre · Home27 Oct 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.18 | +0.33 |
| M10 | Lille · Away1 Nov 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.20 | +0.13 |
| M11 | Saint-Étienne · Home10 Nov 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.66 | +0.79 |
| M12 | Reims · Away23 Nov 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.56 | +0.23 |
| M13 | Nice · Home1 Dec 2024 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.10 | +1.33 |
| M14 | Angers · Away7 Dec 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.01 | +2.34 |
| M15 | Paris Saint-Germain · Away15 Dec 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.57 | +1.77 |
| M16 | Montpellier · Home4 Jan 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.71 | +2.48 |
| M17 | Brest · Away11 Jan 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.63 | +0.85 |
| M18 | Toulouse · Home18 Jan 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.83 | +0.02 |
| M19 | Nantes · Away26 Jan 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.79 | −0.77 |
| M20 | Marseille · Away2 Feb 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.09 | −1.86 |
| M21 | Reims · Home9 Feb 2025 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.90 | −0.96 |
| M22 | Montpellier · Away16 Feb 2025 | W 4-1 | 3 | +0.95 | −0.01 |
| M23 | Paris Saint-Germain · Home23 Feb 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.70 | −0.70 |
| M24 | Brest · Home2 Mar 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.09 | +0.38 |
| M25 | Nice · Away9 Mar 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.89 | +2.28 |
| M26 | Le Havre · Home16 Mar 2025 | W 4-2 | 3 | +0.59 | +2.86 |
| M27 | Strasbourg · Away28 Mar 2025 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.39 | +1.47 |
| M28 | Lille · Home5 Apr 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.48 | +2.95 |
| M29 | Auxerre · Away13 Apr 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.19 | +4.13 |
| M30 | Saint-Étienne · Away20 Apr 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.98 | +2.15 |
| M31 | Rennes · Home26 Apr 2025 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.03 | +3.18 |
| M32 | Lens · Home4 May 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.18 | +1.00 |
| M33 | Monaco · Away10 May 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.98 | +0.02 |
| M34 | Angers · Home17 May 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.44 | +0.46 |
| Total | 57 | +0.46 | |||