Points
65Points expected by the market
61.10Gap
+3.90Yield
+9.4%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 8 | 17 | −1.93 | −20.4% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 15 | 29 | +0.55 | +5.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 19 | +7.77 | +87.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 0 | −2.49 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 8 | 17 | −1.93 | −20.4% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 14 | +0.87 | +3.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.63 | +161.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −0.96 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 15 | −0.32 | +6.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 16 | +6.15 | +77.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 0 | −1.54 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Brest · Away17 Aug 2024 | W 5-1 | 3 | +1.48 | +1.48 |
| M2 | Reims · Home25 Aug 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.30 | +0.18 |
| M3 | Toulouse · Away31 Aug 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.45 | +1.63 |
| M4 | Nice · Home14 Sep 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.20 | +2.83 |
| M5 | Lyon · Away22 Sep 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.53 | +4.37 |
| M6 | Strasbourg · Away29 Sep 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.58 | +2.79 |
| M7 | Angers · Home4 Oct 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.42 | +1.37 |
| M8 | Montpellier · Away20 Oct 2024 | W 5-0 | 3 | +1.10 | +2.47 |
| M9 | Paris Saint-Germain · Home27 Oct 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.96 | +1.51 |
| M10 | Nantes · Away3 Nov 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.38 | +2.90 |
| M11 | Auxerre · Home8 Nov 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −2.18 | +0.72 |
| M12 | Lens · Away23 Nov 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.81 | +2.53 |
| M13 | Monaco · Home1 Dec 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.63 | +4.16 |
| M14 | Saint-Étienne · Away8 Dec 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.95 | +5.11 |
| M15 | Lille · Home14 Dec 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.64 | +4.46 |
| M16 | Le Havre · Home5 Jan 2025 | W 5-1 | 3 | +0.63 | +5.09 |
| M17 | Rennes · Away11 Jan 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.47 | +6.56 |
| M18 | Strasbourg · Home19 Jan 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.02 | +5.54 |
| M19 | Nice · Away26 Jan 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.37 | +4.18 |
| M20 | Lyon · Home2 Feb 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.35 | +5.53 |
| M21 | Angers · Away9 Feb 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.98 | +6.51 |
| M22 | Saint-Étienne · Home15 Feb 2025 | W 5-1 | 3 | +0.53 | +7.04 |
| M23 | Auxerre · Away22 Feb 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −2.06 | +4.98 |
| M24 | Nantes · Home2 Mar 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.69 | +5.67 |
| M25 | Lens · Home8 Mar 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −2.12 | +3.55 |
| M26 | Paris Saint-Germain · Away16 Mar 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.51 | +3.03 |
| M27 | Reims · Away29 Mar 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.98 | +1.06 |
| M28 | Toulouse · Home6 Apr 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.10 | +2.16 |
| M29 | Monaco · Away12 Apr 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.03 | +1.13 |
| M30 | Montpellier · Home19 Apr 2025 | W 5-1 | 3 | +0.39 | +1.53 |
| M31 | Brest · Home27 Apr 2025 | W 4-1 | 3 | +0.73 | +2.25 |
| M32 | Lille · Away4 May 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.23 | +2.02 |
| M33 | Le Havre · Away10 May 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.89 | +2.90 |
| M34 | Rennes · Home17 May 2025 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.00 | +3.90 |
| Total | 65 | +3.90 | |||