Points
61Points expected by the market
61.66Gap
−0.66Yield
−10.1%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 9 | 22 | +1.44 | +7.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 17 | 32 | +0.90 | −5.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 7 | −1.45 | −18.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 0 | −1.55 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 6 | 15 | +1.10 | +13.3% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 24 | +5.32 | +22.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −0.91 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 3 | 7 | +0.33 | −5.7% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 8 | −4.42 | −46.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 7 | −1.45 | −18.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −0.64 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Saint-Étienne · Home17 Aug 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.71 | +0.71 |
| M2 | Lyon · Away24 Aug 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.57 | +2.28 |
| M3 | Lens · Home1 Sep 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.70 | +1.59 |
| M4 | Auxerre · Away14 Sep 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.15 | +2.74 |
| M5 | Le Havre · Home22 Sep 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.78 | +3.52 |
| M6 | Montpellier · Home28 Sep 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.58 | +4.10 |
| M7 | Rennes · Away5 Oct 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.55 | +5.65 |
| M8 | Lille · Home18 Oct 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.67 | +4.99 |
| M9 | Nice · Away27 Oct 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.75 | +3.24 |
| M10 | Angers · Home1 Nov 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −2.45 | +0.78 |
| M11 | Strasbourg · Away9 Nov 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.29 | +2.07 |
| M12 | Brest · Home22 Nov 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +0.94 | +3.01 |
| M13 | Marseille · Away1 Dec 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.35 | +1.66 |
| M14 | Toulouse · Home7 Dec 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.21 | +2.87 |
| M15 | Reims · Away14 Dec 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.58 | +2.29 |
| M16 | Paris Saint-Germain · Home18 Dec 2024 | L 2-4 | 0 | −0.91 | +1.37 |
| M17 | Nantes · Away10 Jan 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.69 | +0.69 |
| M18 | Montpellier · Away17 Jan 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.00 | −1.31 |
| M19 | Rennes · Home25 Jan 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.06 | −0.25 |
| M20 | Auxerre · Home1 Feb 2025 | W 4-2 | 3 | +0.77 | +0.52 |
| M21 | Paris Saint-Germain · Away7 Feb 2025 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.64 | −0.12 |
| M22 | Nantes · Home15 Feb 2025 | W 7-1 | 3 | +0.89 | +0.77 |
| M23 | Lille · Away22 Feb 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.24 | −0.47 |
| M24 | Reims · Home28 Feb 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.72 | +0.24 |
| M25 | Toulouse · Away7 Mar 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.56 | −0.32 |
| M26 | Angers · Away15 Mar 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.75 | +0.43 |
| M27 | Nice · Home29 Mar 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.22 | +1.65 |
| M28 | Brest · Away5 Apr 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.84 | −0.19 |
| M29 | Marseille · Home12 Apr 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.26 | +1.07 |
| M30 | Strasbourg · Home19 Apr 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.11 | −0.03 |
| M31 | Le Havre · Away26 Apr 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.26 | −1.29 |
| M32 | Saint-Étienne · Away3 May 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.84 | −0.45 |
| M33 | Lyon · Home10 May 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.20 | +0.76 |
| M34 | Lens · Away17 May 2025 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.42 | −0.66 |
| Total | 61 | −0.66 | |||