Points
16Points expected by the market
31.67Gap
−15.67Yield
−55.5%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 4 | −0.92 | −29.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 4 | −6.49 | −63.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 23 | 8 | −8.26 | −56.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 4 | −0.92 | −29.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 4 | −4.11 | −51.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 5 | −1.79 | −36.4% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 0 | −2.38 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 15 | 3 | −6.47 | −66.5% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Strasbourg · Home18 Aug 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.65 | −0.65 |
| M2 | Paris Saint-Germain · Away23 Aug 2024 | L 0-6 | 0 | −0.38 | −1.03 |
| M3 | Nantes · Home31 Aug 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.54 | −2.57 |
| M4 | Rennes · Away15 Sep 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.62 | −3.19 |
| M5 | Auxerre · Home22 Sep 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.38 | −1.81 |
| M6 | Monaco · Away28 Sep 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.43 | −2.24 |
| M7 | Reims · Away6 Oct 2024 | L 2-4 | 0 | −0.81 | −3.05 |
| M8 | Marseille · Home20 Oct 2024 | L 0-5 | 0 | −0.87 | −3.92 |
| M9 | Toulouse · Home27 Oct 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.13 | −5.05 |
| M10 | Le Havre · Away3 Nov 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.16 | −6.21 |
| M11 | Brest · Home10 Nov 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.71 | −4.49 |
| M12 | Saint-Étienne · Away23 Nov 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.22 | −5.72 |
| M13 | Lille · Home1 Dec 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.12 | −5.60 |
| M14 | Lens · Away8 Dec 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.56 | −6.16 |
| M15 | Nice · Home15 Dec 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.24 | −6.40 |
| M16 | Lyon · Away4 Jan 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.54 | −6.94 |
| M17 | Angers · Home12 Jan 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.65 | −8.59 |
| M18 | Monaco · Home17 Jan 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.22 | −6.37 |
| M19 | Toulouse · Away26 Jan 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.19 | −4.19 |
| M20 | Lens · Home31 Jan 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.93 | −5.12 |
| M21 | Strasbourg · Away9 Feb 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.82 | −5.94 |
| M22 | Lyon · Home16 Feb 2025 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.74 | −6.68 |
| M23 | Nice · Away23 Feb 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.50 | −7.18 |
| M24 | Rennes · Home2 Mar 2025 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.03 | −8.21 |
| M25 | Lille · Away8 Mar 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.57 | −8.78 |
| M26 | Saint-Étienne · Home16 Mar 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.49 | −10.27 |
| M27 | Auxerre · Away30 Mar 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.92 | −11.19 |
| M28 | Le Havre · Home6 Apr 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.42 | −12.61 |
| M29 | Angers · Away13 Apr 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.98 | −13.60 |
| M30 | Marseille · Away19 Apr 2025 | L 1-5 | 0 | −0.28 | −13.88 |
| M31 | Reims · Home27 Apr 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.05 | −13.83 |
| M32 | Brest · Away4 May 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.53 | −14.36 |
| M33 | Paris Saint-Germain · Home10 May 2025 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.60 | −14.97 |
| M34 | Nantes · Away17 May 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.70 | −15.67 |
| Total | 16 | −15.67 | |||