← Ligue 1 2024-25

Nantes

Season 2024-25 · 34 matches played

Last 5DDLDW

Points

36

Points expected by the market

39.24

Gap

−3.24

Yield

−16.7%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.

M1M5M10M15M20M25M30

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds bandMatches playedMPPointsPtsExpectedGapYield
Heavy favourite under 1.50 0 — — — —
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches 4 4 7.50 −3.50 −61.3%
Even 2.20 – 3.49 15 17 19.77 −2.77 −17.6%
Underdog 3.50 or more 15 15 11.97 +3.03 −3.9%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

MOpponentDateResultRes. Odds to winExpectedPointsPtsGap Running total€1 bet
M1 Toulouse · Away18 Aug 2024 18 Aug 2024 D 0-0 3.75 1.05 1 −0.05 −0.05 −€1.00
M2 Auxerre · Home25 Aug 2024 25 Aug 2024 W 2-0 2.47 1.45 3 +1.55 +1.50 +€1.47
M3 Montpellier · Away31 Aug 2024 31 Aug 2024 W 3-1 3.15 1.18 3 +1.82 +3.32 +€2.15
M4 Reims · Home15 Sep 2024 15 Sep 2024 L 1-2 2.42 1.48 0 −1.48 +1.84 −€1.00
M5 Angers · Away22 Sep 2024 22 Sep 2024 D 1-1 2.40 1.50 1 −0.50 +1.34 −€1.00
M6 Saint-Étienne · Home29 Sep 2024 29 Sep 2024 D 2-2 1.75 1.89 1 −0.89 +0.44 −€1.00
M7 Lyon · Away6 Oct 2024 6 Oct 2024 L 0-2 4.95 0.82 0 −0.82 −0.38 −€1.00
M8 Nice · Home20 Oct 2024 20 Oct 2024 D 1-1 2.88 1.30 1 −0.30 −0.68 −€1.00
M9 Strasbourg · Away27 Oct 2024 27 Oct 2024 L 1-3 3.94 1.00 0 −1.00 −1.68 −€1.00
M10 Marseille · Home3 Nov 2024 3 Nov 2024 L 1-2 3.48 1.10 0 −1.10 −2.78 −€1.00
M11 Lens · Away9 Nov 2024 9 Nov 2024 L 2-3 5.77 0.75 0 −0.75 −3.54 −€1.00
M12 Le Havre · Home24 Nov 2024 24 Nov 2024 L 0-2 1.91 1.79 0 −1.79 −5.33 −€1.00
M13 Paris Saint-Germain · Away30 Nov 2024 30 Nov 2024 D 1-1 15.79 0.31 1 +0.69 −4.63 −€1.00
M14 Rennes · Home8 Dec 2024 8 Dec 2024 W 1-0 3.30 1.18 3 +1.82 −2.81 +€2.30
M15 Brest · Away15 Dec 2024 15 Dec 2024 L 1-4 3.48 1.13 0 −1.13 −3.94 −€1.00
M16 Lille · Away4 Jan 2025 4 Jan 2025 D 1-1 6.59 0.66 1 +0.34 −3.60 −€1.00
M17 Monaco · Home10 Jan 2025 10 Jan 2025 D 2-2 3.87 1.03 1 −0.03 −3.63 −€1.00
M18 Saint-Étienne · Away19 Jan 2025 19 Jan 2025 D 1-1 2.46 1.45 1 −0.45 −4.08 −€1.00
M19 Lyon · Home26 Jan 2025 26 Jan 2025 D 1-1 4.10 0.96 1 +0.04 −4.03 −€1.00
M20 Reims · Away2 Feb 2025 2 Feb 2025 W 2-1 3.44 1.13 3 +1.87 −2.16 +€2.44
M21 Brest · Home7 Feb 2025 7 Feb 2025 L 0-2 2.50 1.45 0 −1.45 −3.61 −€1.00
M22 Monaco · Away15 Feb 2025 15 Feb 2025 L 1-7 6.06 0.68 0 −0.68 −4.29 −€1.00
M23 Lens · Home23 Feb 2025 23 Feb 2025 W 3-1 3.53 1.10 3 +1.90 −2.39 +€2.53
M24 Marseille · Away2 Mar 2025 2 Mar 2025 L 0-2 8.54 0.51 0 −0.51 −2.91 −€1.00
M25 Strasbourg · Home9 Mar 2025 9 Mar 2025 L 0-1 2.94 1.25 0 −1.25 −4.16 −€1.00
M26 Lille · Home15 Mar 2025 15 Mar 2025 W 1-0 4.10 0.98 3 +2.02 −2.14 +€3.10
M27 Le Havre · Away30 Mar 2025 30 Mar 2025 L 2-3 2.42 1.47 0 −1.47 −3.61 −€1.00
M28 Nice · Away4 Apr 2025 4 Apr 2025 W 2-1 6.78 0.64 3 +2.36 −1.25 +€5.78
M29 Rennes · Away18 Apr 2025 18 Apr 2025 L 1-2 4.49 0.90 0 −0.90 −2.15 −€1.00
M30 Paris Saint-Germain · Home22 Apr 2025 22 Apr 2025 D 1-1 7.09 0.58 1 +0.42 −1.73 −€1.00
M31 Toulouse · Home27 Apr 2025 27 Apr 2025 D 0-0 2.87 1.30 1 −0.30 −2.03 −€1.00
M32 Angers · Home4 May 2025 4 May 2025 L 0-1 1.96 1.74 0 −1.74 −3.77 −€1.00
M33 Auxerre · Away10 May 2025 10 May 2025 D 1-1 2.58 1.40 1 −0.40 −4.17 −€1.00
M34 Montpellier · Home17 May 2025 17 May 2025 W 3-0 1.55 2.07 3 +0.93 −3.24 +€0.55
Total 39.24 36 −3.24 −€5.68