Points
60Points expected by the market
52.93Gap
+7.07Yield
+10.8%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 5 | 12 | +0.85 | +11.4% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 20 | +1.35 | +1.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 20 | +4.07 | +13.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 8 | +0.80 | +18.3% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 5 | 12 | +0.85 | +11.4% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 11 | −0.32 | −18.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 10 | +4.16 | +85.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 4 | +2.25 | +94.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 9 | +1.67 | +30.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 10 | −0.09 | −27.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 4 | −1.45 | −7.2% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Auxerre · Away18 Aug 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.46 | −1.46 |
| M2 | Toulouse · Home25 Aug 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.67 | −2.13 |
| M3 | Angers · Away1 Sep 2024 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.24 | −0.88 |
| M4 | Marseille · Away14 Sep 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.94 | −1.82 |
| M5 | Saint-Étienne · Home20 Sep 2024 | W 8-0 | 3 | +0.85 | −0.98 |
| M6 | Lens · Away28 Sep 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.05 | −0.93 |
| M7 | Paris Saint-Germain · Home6 Oct 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.24 | −0.68 |
| M8 | Nantes · Away20 Oct 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.40 | −1.08 |
| M9 | Monaco · Home27 Oct 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.01 | +0.93 |
| M10 | Brest · Away2 Nov 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.58 | +2.50 |
| M11 | Lille · Home10 Nov 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.51 | +1.99 |
| M12 | Strasbourg · Home24 Nov 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.13 | +3.12 |
| M13 | Lyon · Away1 Dec 2024 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.87 | +2.25 |
| M14 | Le Havre · Home7 Dec 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.96 | +3.21 |
| M15 | Montpellier · Away15 Dec 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.50 | +2.71 |
| M16 | Rennes · Home3 Jan 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.50 | +4.21 |
| M17 | Reims · Away11 Jan 2025 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.58 | +5.79 |
| M18 | Lille · Away17 Jan 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.00 | +4.79 |
| M19 | Marseille · Home26 Jan 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.65 | +6.44 |
| M20 | Toulouse · Away2 Feb 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.46 | +5.97 |
| M21 | Lens · Home8 Feb 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.53 | +7.50 |
| M22 | Le Havre · Away16 Feb 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.99 | +8.49 |
| M23 | Montpellier · Home23 Feb 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.68 | +9.17 |
| M24 | Saint-Étienne · Away1 Mar 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.03 | +10.20 |
| M25 | Lyon · Home9 Mar 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.62 | +8.58 |
| M26 | Auxerre · Home14 Mar 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.02 | +7.56 |
| M27 | Monaco · Away29 Mar 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.97 | +6.58 |
| M28 | Nantes · Home4 Apr 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.15 | +4.44 |
| M29 | Strasbourg · Away12 Apr 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.43 | +4.01 |
| M30 | Angers · Home20 Apr 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.74 | +4.74 |
| M31 | Paris Saint-Germain · Away25 Apr 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +2.28 | +7.03 |
| M32 | Reims · Home2 May 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.74 | +7.76 |
| M33 | Rennes · Away10 May 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.59 | +6.17 |
| M34 | Brest · Home17 May 2025 | W 6-0 | 3 | +0.90 | +7.07 |
| Total | 60 | +7.07 | |||