Points
33Points expected by the market
40.37Gap
−7.37Yield
−20.6%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 8 | −6.15 | −52.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 12 | −6.17 | −38.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 12 | 13 | +4.94 | +21.7% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 4 | −5.11 | −66.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 5 | −6.40 | −64.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 7 | +4.56 | +193.3% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 4 | −1.04 | −27.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 7 | +0.23 | +7.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 9 | 6 | +0.39 | −35.6% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Lille · Home17 Aug 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.29 | −1.29 |
| M2 | Marseille · Away25 Aug 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.48 | −0.81 |
| M3 | Rennes · Home1 Sep 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.83 | +1.02 |
| M4 | Nantes · Away15 Sep 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.78 | +2.80 |
| M5 | Paris Saint-Germain · Home21 Sep 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.42 | +3.22 |
| M6 | Angers · Away29 Sep 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.38 | +4.60 |
| M7 | Montpellier · Home6 Oct 2024 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.05 | +5.64 |
| M8 | Auxerre · Away20 Oct 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.56 | +4.08 |
| M9 | Brest · Home26 Oct 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.79 | +2.29 |
| M10 | Toulouse · Away3 Nov 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.95 | +1.33 |
| M11 | Le Havre · Away10 Nov 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.44 | +2.78 |
| M12 | Lyon · Home23 Nov 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.19 | +2.59 |
| M13 | Lens · Home29 Nov 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.19 | +1.40 |
| M14 | Strasbourg · Away8 Dec 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.28 | +1.11 |
| M15 | Monaco · Home14 Dec 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.14 | +0.97 |
| M16 | Saint-Étienne · Away4 Jan 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.63 | −0.66 |
| M17 | Nice · Home11 Jan 2025 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.29 | −1.95 |
| M18 | Le Havre · Home19 Jan 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.97 | −2.92 |
| M19 | Paris Saint-Germain · Away25 Jan 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.65 | −2.28 |
| M20 | Nantes · Home2 Feb 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.58 | −3.85 |
| M21 | Lyon · Away9 Feb 2025 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.69 | −4.54 |
| M22 | Angers · Home16 Feb 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.78 | −6.32 |
| M23 | Rennes · Away21 Feb 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.14 | −7.46 |
| M24 | Monaco · Away28 Feb 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.53 | −7.99 |
| M25 | Auxerre · Home9 Mar 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.44 | −9.44 |
| M26 | Brest · Away16 Mar 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.22 | −9.21 |
| M27 | Marseille · Home29 Mar 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +2.22 | −7.00 |
| M28 | Strasbourg · Home6 Apr 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.10 | −8.09 |
| M29 | Lens · Away11 Apr 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.27 | −5.82 |
| M30 | Toulouse · Home20 Apr 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.92 | −3.90 |
| M31 | Montpellier · Away27 Apr 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.79 | −4.69 |
| M32 | Nice · Away2 May 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.55 | −5.24 |
| M33 | Saint-Étienne · Home10 May 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.61 | −6.85 |
| M34 | Lille · Away17 May 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.52 | −7.37 |
| Total | 33 | −7.37 | |||