Points
41Points expected by the market
48.64Gap
−7.64Yield
−23.3%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.81 | +43.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 24 | +4.09 | +33.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 15 | 14 | −6.75 | −33.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 7 | 0 | −5.78 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.81 | +43.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 15 | +1.74 | +21.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 10 | −0.96 | −3.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −0.83 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 9 | +2.35 | +53.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 4 | −5.79 | −67.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 0 | −4.95 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Lyon · Home18 Aug 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.49 | +1.49 |
| M2 | Strasbourg · Away25 Aug 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.54 | −0.05 |
| M3 | Reims · Away1 Sep 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.55 | −1.61 |
| M4 | Montpellier · Home15 Sep 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.81 | −0.80 |
| M5 | Lens · Home21 Sep 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.48 | −1.28 |
| M6 | Paris Saint-Germain · Away27 Sep 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.58 | −1.86 |
| M7 | Monaco · Home5 Oct 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.27 | −3.13 |
| M8 | Brest · Away19 Oct 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.33 | −3.47 |
| M9 | Le Havre · Home25 Oct 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.86 | −2.60 |
| M10 | Auxerre · Away3 Nov 2024 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.62 | −4.23 |
| M11 | Toulouse · Home10 Nov 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.52 | −5.75 |
| M12 | Lille · Away24 Nov 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.93 | −6.68 |
| M13 | Saint-Étienne · Home30 Nov 2024 | W 5-0 | 3 | +0.95 | −5.73 |
| M14 | Nantes · Away8 Dec 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.51 | −7.24 |
| M15 | Angers · Home15 Dec 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.99 | −6.25 |
| M16 | Nice · Away3 Jan 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.20 | −7.45 |
| M17 | Marseille · Home11 Jan 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.18 | −8.63 |
| M18 | Brest · Home18 Jan 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.72 | −10.35 |
| M19 | Monaco · Away25 Jan 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.82 | −11.16 |
| M20 | Strasbourg · Home2 Feb 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.28 | −9.88 |
| M21 | Saint-Étienne · Away8 Feb 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.47 | −8.41 |
| M22 | Lille · Home16 Feb 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.26 | −9.67 |
| M23 | Reims · Home21 Feb 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.42 | −8.25 |
| M24 | Montpellier · Away2 Mar 2025 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.30 | −6.95 |
| M25 | Paris Saint-Germain · Home8 Mar 2025 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.83 | −7.78 |
| M26 | Lens · Away15 Mar 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.03 | −8.81 |
| M27 | Angers · Away30 Mar 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.33 | −7.48 |
| M28 | Auxerre · Home6 Apr 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.78 | −9.26 |
| M29 | Le Havre · Away13 Apr 2025 | W 5-1 | 3 | +1.34 | −7.92 |
| M30 | Nantes · Home18 Apr 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.16 | −6.76 |
| M31 | Lyon · Away26 Apr 2025 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.82 | −7.57 |
| M32 | Toulouse · Away3 May 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.12 | −8.70 |
| M33 | Nice · Home10 May 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.84 | −6.85 |
| M34 | Marseille · Away17 May 2025 | L 2-4 | 0 | −0.79 | −7.64 |
| Total | 41 | −7.64 | |||