Points
57Points expected by the market
45.32Gap
+11.68Yield
+21.7%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 17 | −1.28 | −8.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 30 | +13.68 | +101.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 12 | 10 | −0.72 | −32.7% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 14 | +0.77 | 0.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 21 | +9.18 | +89.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.03 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 3 | −2.05 | −29.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 9 | +4.51 | +137.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 11 | 10 | +0.30 | −26.6% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Montpellier · Away18 Aug 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.08 | −0.08 |
| M2 | Rennes · Home25 Aug 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.83 | +1.75 |
| M3 | Lyon · Away30 Aug 2024 | L 3-4 | 0 | −1.06 | +0.69 |
| M4 | Angers · Home15 Sep 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.00 | −0.31 |
| M5 | Lille · Away21 Sep 2024 | D 3-3 | 1 | +0.28 | −0.03 |
| M6 | Marseille · Home29 Sep 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.84 | +1.81 |
| M7 | Lens · Home6 Oct 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.34 | +1.47 |
| M8 | Paris Saint-Germain · Away19 Oct 2024 | L 2-4 | 0 | −0.46 | +1.01 |
| M9 | Nantes · Home27 Oct 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.28 | +2.29 |
| M10 | Saint-Étienne · Away2 Nov 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.60 | +0.69 |
| M11 | Monaco · Home9 Nov 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.03 | −0.34 |
| M12 | Nice · Away24 Nov 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.88 | −1.22 |
| M13 | Brest · Away30 Nov 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.09 | −2.31 |
| M14 | Reims · Home8 Dec 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.43 | −2.74 |
| M15 | Le Havre · Away15 Dec 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.45 | −1.30 |
| M16 | Auxerre · Home5 Jan 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.18 | −0.12 |
| M17 | Toulouse · Away12 Jan 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.00 | +1.88 |
| M18 | Marseille · Away19 Jan 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.24 | +2.12 |
| M19 | Lille · Home25 Jan 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.76 | +3.88 |
| M20 | Rennes · Away2 Feb 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.00 | +2.88 |
| M21 | Montpellier · Home9 Feb 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.06 | +3.94 |
| M22 | Lens · Away16 Feb 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.05 | +5.99 |
| M23 | Brest · Home23 Feb 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.60 | +5.39 |
| M24 | Auxerre · Away2 Mar 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.52 | +6.92 |
| M25 | Nantes · Away9 Mar 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.54 | +8.45 |
| M26 | Toulouse · Home16 Mar 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.61 | +10.06 |
| M27 | Lyon · Home28 Mar 2025 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.66 | +11.72 |
| M28 | Reims · Away6 Apr 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.37 | +13.09 |
| M29 | Nice · Home12 Apr 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.29 | +12.80 |
| M30 | Monaco · Away19 Apr 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.31 | +13.11 |
| M31 | Saint-Étienne · Home26 Apr 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.93 | +14.04 |
| M32 | Paris Saint-Germain · Home3 May 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.54 | +15.58 |
| M33 | Angers · Away10 May 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.83 | +13.75 |
| M34 | Le Havre · Home17 May 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −2.07 | +11.68 |
| Total | 57 | +11.68 | |||