Points
42Points expected by the market
47.89Gap
−5.89Yield
−26.1%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 4 | −0.38 | −29.5% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 12 | 22 | +1.25 | +15.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 11 | −4.79 | −50.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 5 | −1.97 | −52.4% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 4 | −0.38 | −29.5% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 13 | −1.14 | −4.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 3 | −4.81 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −0.71 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 9 | +2.39 | +56.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 8 | +0.02 | 0.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 7 | 5 | −1.26 | −45.6% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Nantes · Home18 Aug 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.66 | −0.66 |
| M2 | Nice · Away25 Aug 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.04 | −0.70 |
| M3 | Marseille · Home31 Aug 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.18 | −1.88 |
| M4 | Le Havre · Home15 Sep 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.22 | −0.66 |
| M5 | Brest · Away22 Sep 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.37 | −2.03 |
| M6 | Lyon · Home29 Sep 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.47 | −3.50 |
| M7 | Lille · Away5 Oct 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.88 | −4.39 |
| M8 | Angers · Home20 Oct 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.15 | −5.54 |
| M9 | Montpellier · Away27 Oct 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.39 | −4.15 |
| M10 | Reims · Home3 Nov 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.22 | −2.93 |
| M11 | Rennes · Away10 Nov 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.81 | −1.12 |
| M12 | Paris Saint-Germain · Away22 Nov 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.57 | −1.69 |
| M13 | Auxerre · Home1 Dec 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.04 | −0.65 |
| M14 | Monaco · Away7 Dec 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.96 | −1.61 |
| M15 | Saint-Étienne · Home13 Dec 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.77 | −0.84 |
| M16 | Lens · Away5 Jan 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.98 | +1.14 |
| M17 | Strasbourg · Home12 Jan 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.73 | −0.59 |
| M18 | Lyon · Away18 Jan 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.08 | −0.51 |
| M19 | Montpellier · Home26 Jan 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.94 | −2.45 |
| M20 | Nice · Home2 Feb 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.24 | −2.70 |
| M21 | Auxerre · Away9 Feb 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.44 | −3.14 |
| M22 | Paris Saint-Germain · Home15 Feb 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.71 | −3.85 |
| M23 | Le Havre · Away23 Feb 2025 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.33 | −2.52 |
| M24 | Angers · Away2 Mar 2025 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.31 | −1.20 |
| M25 | Monaco · Home7 Mar 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.16 | −1.37 |
| M26 | Strasbourg · Away16 Mar 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.31 | −2.68 |
| M27 | Brest · Home30 Mar 2025 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.69 | −4.37 |
| M28 | Marseille · Away6 Apr 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.86 | −5.23 |
| M29 | Lille · Home12 Apr 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.20 | −6.43 |
| M30 | Reims · Away20 Apr 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.64 | −8.07 |
| M31 | Nantes · Away27 Apr 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.40 | −8.47 |
| M32 | Rennes · Home3 May 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.40 | −7.08 |
| M33 | Lens · Home10 May 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.55 | −7.63 |
| M34 | Saint-Étienne · Away17 May 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.74 | −5.89 |
| Total | 42 | −5.89 | |||