Points
36Points expected by the market
31.41Gap
+4.59Yield
−12.3%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 6 | +2.78 | +114.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 12 | +0.70 | −7.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 23 | 18 | +1.11 | −25.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 6 | +2.78 | +114.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 11 | +2.09 | +18.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 6 | −0.36 | −53.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 1 | −1.38 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 15 | 12 | +1.47 | −9.8% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Paris FC · Home17 Aug 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.78 | +1.78 |
| M2 | Paris Saint-Germain · Away22 Aug 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.18 | +1.61 |
| M3 | Rennes · Home31 Aug 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.09 | +1.70 |
| M4 | Metz · Away14 Sep 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.16 | +1.53 |
| M5 | Lyon · Away19 Sep 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.62 | +0.92 |
| M6 | Brest · Home28 Sep 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.20 | −0.28 |
| M7 | Strasbourg · Away5 Oct 2025 | L 0-5 | 0 | −0.84 | −1.12 |
| M8 | Monaco · Home18 Oct 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.23 | −0.89 |
| M9 | Lorient · Home26 Oct 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.65 | +0.75 |
| M10 | Marseille · Away29 Oct 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.61 | +1.36 |
| M11 | Lille · Away2 Nov 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.53 | +0.83 |
| M12 | Auxerre · Home9 Nov 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.57 | +2.41 |
| M13 | Toulouse · Away23 Nov 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.22 | +4.63 |
| M14 | Lens · Home30 Nov 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.84 | +3.79 |
| M15 | Nice · Away7 Dec 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.11 | +5.90 |
| M16 | Nantes · Home12 Dec 2025 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.39 | +7.29 |
| M17 | Le Havre · Away4 Jan 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.22 | +6.07 |
| M18 | Marseille · Home17 Jan 2026 | L 2-5 | 0 | −0.74 | +5.33 |
| M19 | Paris FC · Away25 Jan 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.08 | +5.41 |
| M20 | Metz · Home1 Feb 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.39 | +6.80 |
| M21 | Toulouse · Home8 Feb 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.94 | +8.74 |
| M22 | Lorient · Away15 Feb 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.96 | +7.78 |
| M23 | Lille · Home22 Feb 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.89 | +6.89 |
| M24 | Monaco · Away28 Feb 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.60 | +6.29 |
| M25 | Nantes · Away7 Mar 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.91 | +8.20 |
| M26 | Nice · Home14 Mar 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.19 | +7.01 |
| M27 | Lens · Away20 Mar 2026 | L 1-5 | 0 | −0.36 | +6.65 |
| M28 | Lyon · Home5 Apr 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.24 | +6.89 |
| M29 | Rennes · Away11 Apr 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.51 | +6.38 |
| M30 | Le Havre · Home18 Apr 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.19 | +6.19 |
| M31 | Paris Saint-Germain · Home25 Apr 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.41 | +5.78 |
| M32 | Auxerre · Away3 May 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.85 | +4.93 |
| M33 | Strasbourg · Home10 May 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.33 | +4.60 |
| M34 | Brest · Away17 May 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.01 | +4.59 |
| Total | 36 | +4.59 | |||