Points
34Points expected by the market
37.05Gap
−3.05Yield
−30.9%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 7 | +0.01 | −7.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 18 | +3.35 | +16.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 19 | 9 | −6.41 | −63.4% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 7 | +0.01 | −7.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 14 | +4.55 | +48.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 1 | −4.14 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 4 | −1.20 | −38.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 13 | 8 | −2.28 | −46.5% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Lorient · Home17 Aug 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.57 | +1.57 |
| M2 | Nice · Away23 Aug 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.92 | +0.65 |
| M3 | Nantes · Away30 Aug 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.28 | −0.63 |
| M4 | Monaco · Home13 Sep 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.77 | −1.40 |
| M5 | Toulouse · Home21 Sep 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.85 | +0.45 |
| M6 | Paris Saint-Germain · Away27 Sep 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.38 | +0.07 |
| M7 | Lens · Home4 Oct 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.07 | −1.00 |
| M8 | Rennes · Away19 Oct 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.06 | −0.93 |
| M9 | Le Havre · Home26 Oct 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.64 | −2.58 |
| M10 | Strasbourg · Away29 Oct 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.83 | −3.40 |
| M11 | Marseille · Home1 Nov 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.79 | −4.19 |
| M12 | Angers · Away9 Nov 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.26 | −5.45 |
| M13 | Lyon · Home23 Nov 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.01 | −5.46 |
| M14 | Paris FC · Away29 Nov 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.04 | −5.42 |
| M15 | Metz · Home7 Dec 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.31 | −4.11 |
| M16 | Lille · Home14 Dec 2025 | L 3-4 | 0 | −0.96 | −5.08 |
| M17 | Brest · Away4 Jan 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.97 | −6.05 |
| M18 | Lens · Away17 Jan 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.64 | −6.68 |
| M19 | Paris Saint-Germain · Home23 Jan 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.53 | −7.21 |
| M20 | Toulouse · Away1 Feb 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.15 | −7.06 |
| M21 | Paris FC · Home8 Feb 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.43 | −7.50 |
| M22 | Metz · Away15 Feb 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.55 | −5.95 |
| M23 | Rennes · Home22 Feb 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.27 | −7.22 |
| M24 | Lorient · Away1 Mar 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.05 | −7.27 |
| M25 | Strasbourg · Home7 Mar 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.12 | −7.39 |
| M26 | Marseille · Away13 Mar 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.60 | −8.00 |
| M27 | Brest · Home21 Mar 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.45 | −6.54 |
| M28 | Le Havre · Away5 Apr 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.21 | −6.76 |
| M29 | Nantes · Home11 Apr 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.76 | −7.51 |
| M30 | Monaco · Away19 Apr 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.24 | −7.27 |
| M31 | Lyon · Away25 Apr 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.78 | −8.06 |
| M32 | Angers · Home3 May 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.11 | −6.95 |
| M33 | Nice · Home10 May 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.51 | −5.45 |
| M34 | Lille · Away17 May 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.39 | −3.05 |
| Total | 34 | −3.05 | |||