Points
39Points expected by the market
40.19Gap
−1.19Yield
−21.5%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 14 | +3.54 | +28.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 16 | 17 | −3.33 | −31.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 12 | 8 | −1.40 | −33.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 11 | +2.18 | +12.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 11 | −0.35 | −4.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 4 | +1.77 | +26.7% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.35 | +107.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 6 | −2.98 | −66.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 9 | 4 | −3.17 | −52.9% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Lille · Home17 Aug 2025 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.44 | −0.44 |
| M2 | Toulouse · Away24 Aug 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.16 | −1.60 |
| M3 | Lens · Away29 Aug 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.00 | −2.60 |
| M4 | Paris FC · Home14 Sep 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.36 | −3.97 |
| M5 | Nice · Home20 Sep 2025 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.78 | −2.19 |
| M6 | Angers · Away28 Sep 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.50 | −0.69 |
| M7 | Nantes · Home4 Oct 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.76 | −1.45 |
| M8 | Lorient · Away19 Oct 2025 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.37 | −1.82 |
| M9 | Paris Saint-Germain · Home25 Oct 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.52 | −2.34 |
| M10 | Le Havre · Away29 Oct 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.39 | −3.73 |
| M11 | Lyon · Home2 Nov 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.12 | −3.86 |
| M12 | Marseille · Away8 Nov 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.65 | −4.51 |
| M13 | Metz · Home23 Nov 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.18 | −3.33 |
| M14 | Strasbourg · Away30 Nov 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.08 | −1.25 |
| M15 | Monaco · Home5 Dec 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.90 | +0.65 |
| M16 | Rennes · Away13 Dec 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.96 | −0.31 |
| M17 | Auxerre · Home4 Jan 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.25 | +0.94 |
| M18 | Lyon · Away18 Jan 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.79 | +0.15 |
| M19 | Toulouse · Home25 Jan 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.27 | −1.12 |
| M20 | Nice · Away1 Feb 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.19 | −1.30 |
| M21 | Lorient · Home7 Feb 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.47 | +0.17 |
| M22 | Lille · Away14 Feb 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.26 | +0.43 |
| M23 | Marseille · Home20 Feb 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.01 | +2.44 |
| M24 | Metz · Away1 Mar 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.35 | +3.79 |
| M25 | Le Havre · Home8 Mar 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.23 | +5.03 |
| M26 | Monaco · Away14 Mar 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.76 | +4.26 |
| M27 | Auxerre · Away21 Mar 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.15 | +3.11 |
| M28 | Rennes · Home4 Apr 2026 | L 3-4 | 0 | −1.17 | +1.95 |
| M29 | Nantes · Away19 Apr 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.23 | +1.72 |
| M30 | Lens · Home24 Apr 2026 | D 3-3 | 1 | +0.28 | +2.00 |
| M31 | Paris FC · Away3 May 2026 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.97 | +1.03 |
| M32 | Paris Saint-Germain · Away10 May 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.37 | +0.66 |
| M33 | Strasbourg · Home13 May 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.13 | −0.47 |
| M34 | Angers · Home17 May 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.72 | −1.19 |
| Total | 39 | −1.19 | |||