Points
35Points expected by the market
35.77Gap
−0.77Yield
−33.9%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 3 | −2.46 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 21 | +5.54 | +22.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 19 | 11 | −3.85 | −59.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 3 | −2.46 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 16 | +5.83 | +47.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 4 | −1.17 | −30.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 5 | −0.29 | −27.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 13 | 7 | −2.68 | −72.4% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Monaco · Away16 Aug 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.38 | −0.38 |
| M2 | Lens · Home24 Aug 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.93 | −1.31 |
| M3 | Nice · Home31 Aug 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.85 | +0.54 |
| M4 | Strasbourg · Away14 Sep 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.91 | −0.37 |
| M5 | Lorient · Home21 Sep 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.64 | −1.01 |
| M6 | Metz · Away28 Sep 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.33 | −1.33 |
| M7 | Rennes · Home5 Oct 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.19 | −1.52 |
| M8 | Marseille · Away18 Oct 2025 | L 2-6 | 0 | −0.49 | −2.02 |
| M9 | Auxerre · Away26 Oct 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.93 | −0.09 |
| M10 | Brest · Home29 Oct 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.70 | +1.61 |
| M11 | Toulouse · Away2 Nov 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.17 | +1.78 |
| M12 | Nantes · Home8 Nov 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.81 | +0.97 |
| M13 | Paris Saint-Germain · Away22 Nov 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.37 | +0.60 |
| M14 | Lille · Home30 Nov 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.89 | −0.29 |
| M15 | Paris FC · Home7 Dec 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.31 | −0.61 |
| M16 | Lyon · Away14 Dec 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.76 | −1.37 |
| M17 | Angers · Home4 Jan 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.51 | +0.14 |
| M18 | Rennes · Away18 Jan 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.23 | +0.37 |
| M19 | Monaco · Home24 Jan 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.07 | +0.44 |
| M20 | Lens · Away30 Jan 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.60 | −0.17 |
| M21 | Strasbourg · Home8 Feb 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.07 | +1.90 |
| M22 | Toulouse · Home15 Feb 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.85 | +3.75 |
| M23 | Nantes · Away22 Feb 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.24 | +2.51 |
| M24 | Paris Saint-Germain · Home28 Feb 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.47 | +2.05 |
| M25 | Brest · Away8 Mar 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.95 | +1.09 |
| M26 | Lyon · Home15 Mar 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.10 | +0.99 |
| M27 | Paris FC · Away22 Mar 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.06 | −0.07 |
| M28 | Auxerre · Home5 Apr 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.48 | −0.55 |
| M29 | Nice · Away12 Apr 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.07 | −0.48 |
| M30 | Angers · Away18 Apr 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.49 | −0.98 |
| M31 | Metz · Home26 Apr 2026 | D 4-4 | 1 | −1.01 | −1.99 |
| M32 | Lille · Away3 May 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.47 | −1.52 |
| M33 | Marseille · Home10 May 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.02 | −2.54 |
| M34 | Lorient · Away17 May 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.77 | −0.77 |
| Total | 35 | −0.77 | |||