Points
70Points expected by the market
58.13Gap
+11.87Yield
+29.4%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 6 | 15 | +1.47 | +13.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 16 | 38 | +7.69 | +31.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 14 | +1.00 | +10.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 3 | +1.71 | +158.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 5 | 15 | +3.61 | +35.6% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 21 | +5.69 | +48.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 6 | +0.49 | +18.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 0 | −2.14 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 17 | +2.00 | +14.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 8 | +0.51 | +4.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 3 | +1.71 | +158.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Lyon · Home16 Aug 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.43 | −1.43 |
| M2 | Le Havre · Away24 Aug 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.18 | −0.25 |
| M3 | Brest · Home29 Aug 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.26 | +1.01 |
| M4 | Paris Saint-Germain · Away14 Sep 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.54 | +0.46 |
| M5 | Lille · Home20 Sep 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.46 | +1.92 |
| M6 | Rennes · Away28 Sep 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.36 | +1.57 |
| M7 | Auxerre · Away4 Oct 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.33 | +2.90 |
| M8 | Paris FC · Home19 Oct 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.17 | +4.07 |
| M9 | Marseille · Home25 Oct 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.60 | +5.68 |
| M10 | Metz · Away29 Oct 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −2.14 | +3.53 |
| M11 | Lorient · Home2 Nov 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.95 | +4.48 |
| M12 | Monaco · Away8 Nov 2025 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.93 | +6.41 |
| M13 | Strasbourg · Home22 Nov 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.39 | +7.79 |
| M14 | Angers · Away30 Nov 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.08 | +8.87 |
| M15 | Nantes · Away6 Dec 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.07 | +9.94 |
| M16 | Nice · Home14 Dec 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.93 | +10.87 |
| M17 | Toulouse · Away2 Jan 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.72 | +12.59 |
| M18 | Auxerre · Home17 Jan 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.85 | +13.44 |
| M19 | Marseille · Away24 Jan 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.13 | +12.31 |
| M20 | Le Havre · Home30 Jan 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.81 | +13.12 |
| M21 | Rennes · Home7 Feb 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.98 | +14.09 |
| M22 | Paris FC · Away14 Feb 2026 | W 5-0 | 3 | +1.27 | +15.36 |
| M23 | Monaco · Home21 Feb 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.87 | +13.49 |
| M24 | Strasbourg · Away27 Feb 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.20 | +13.29 |
| M25 | Metz · Home8 Mar 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.60 | +13.89 |
| M26 | Lorient · Away14 Mar 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.95 | +11.94 |
| M27 | Angers · Home20 Mar 2026 | W 5-1 | 3 | +0.50 | +12.44 |
| M28 | Lille · Away4 Apr 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.45 | +10.99 |
| M29 | Toulouse · Home17 Apr 2026 | W 3-2 | 3 | +0.91 | +11.90 |
| M30 | Brest · Away24 Apr 2026 | D 3-3 | 1 | −1.06 | +10.84 |
| M31 | Nice · Away2 May 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.93 | +9.91 |
| M32 | Nantes · Home8 May 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.85 | +10.76 |
| M33 | Paris Saint-Germain · Home13 May 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.14 | +9.62 |
| M34 | Lyon · Away17 May 2026 | W 4-0 | 3 | +2.25 | +11.87 |
| Total | 70 | +11.87 | |||