Points
61Points expected by the market
56.40Gap
+4.60Yield
+14.6%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 6 | 11 | −2.43 | −32.2% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 13 | 27 | +2.49 | +11.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 20 | +2.96 | +26.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 3 | +1.58 | +99.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 6 | 11 | −2.43 | −32.2% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 8 | −1.74 | −30.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 10 | +2.05 | +39.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 19 | +4.23 | +37.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 10 | +0.91 | +15.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 3 | +1.58 | +99.5% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Brest · Away17 Aug 2025 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.26 | −0.26 |
| M2 | Monaco · Home24 Aug 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.86 | +1.60 |
| M3 | Lorient · Away30 Aug 2025 | W 7-1 | 3 | +1.41 | +3.01 |
| M4 | Toulouse · Home14 Sep 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.20 | +4.21 |
| M5 | Lens · Away20 Sep 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.19 | +3.03 |
| M6 | Lyon · Home28 Sep 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.52 | +1.50 |
| M7 | Paris Saint-Germain · Home5 Oct 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.10 | +1.41 |
| M8 | Nantes · Away19 Oct 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.02 | +2.42 |
| M9 | Metz · Home26 Oct 2025 | W 6-1 | 3 | +0.55 | +2.97 |
| M10 | Nice · Away29 Oct 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.76 | +1.21 |
| M11 | Angers · Home2 Nov 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.71 | +1.93 |
| M12 | Strasbourg · Away9 Nov 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.41 | +0.52 |
| M13 | Paris FC · Home23 Nov 2025 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.05 | +1.57 |
| M14 | Le Havre · Away30 Nov 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.15 | +2.73 |
| M15 | Marseille · Home5 Dec 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.52 | +4.25 |
| M16 | Auxerre · Away14 Dec 2025 | W 4-3 | 3 | +1.24 | +5.49 |
| M17 | Rennes · Home3 Jan 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.88 | +3.61 |
| M18 | Paris Saint-Germain · Away16 Jan 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.46 | +3.15 |
| M19 | Strasbourg · Home25 Jan 2026 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.44 | +1.71 |
| M20 | Lyon · Away1 Feb 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.18 | +0.54 |
| M21 | Metz · Away6 Feb 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.10 | −0.56 |
| M22 | Brest · Home14 Feb 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.03 | −1.59 |
| M23 | Angers · Away22 Feb 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.16 | −0.43 |
| M24 | Nantes · Home1 Mar 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.88 | +0.45 |
| M25 | Lorient · Home8 Mar 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.08 | −0.63 |
| M26 | Rennes · Away15 Mar 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.86 | +1.23 |
| M27 | Marseille · Away22 Mar 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.03 | +3.26 |
| M28 | Lens · Home4 Apr 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.73 | +4.99 |
| M29 | Toulouse · Away12 Apr 2026 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.45 | +6.44 |
| M30 | Nice · Home18 Apr 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.11 | +5.33 |
| M31 | Paris FC · Away26 Apr 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.10 | +6.43 |
| M32 | Le Havre · Home3 May 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.27 | +5.16 |
| M33 | Monaco · Away10 May 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.63 | +6.79 |
| M34 | Auxerre · Home17 May 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −2.19 | +4.60 |
| Total | 61 | +4.60 | |||