Points
45Points expected by the market
38.77Gap
+6.23Yield
+10.1%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 8 | −0.60 | −23.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 14 | −3.33 | −43.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 16 | 23 | +10.16 | +63.9% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 8 | −0.60 | −23.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 9 | −0.47 | −27.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 13 | +8.86 | +238.6% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 5 | −2.87 | −62.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 11 | 10 | +1.31 | −15.5% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Auxerre · Away17 Aug 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.28 | −1.28 |
| M2 | Rennes · Home24 Aug 2025 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.69 | +0.41 |
| M3 | Lille · Home30 Aug 2025 | L 1-7 | 0 | −1.14 | −0.73 |
| M4 | Marseille · Away12 Sep 2025 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.53 | −1.26 |
| M5 | Le Havre · Away21 Sep 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.07 | −1.33 |
| M6 | Monaco · Home27 Sep 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +2.01 | +0.68 |
| M7 | Paris FC · Away3 Oct 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.89 | −0.21 |
| M8 | Brest · Home19 Oct 2025 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.33 | −0.55 |
| M9 | Angers · Away26 Oct 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.34 | −1.88 |
| M10 | Paris Saint-Germain · Home29 Oct 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.56 | −1.32 |
| M11 | Lens · Away2 Nov 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.72 | −2.04 |
| M12 | Toulouse · Home9 Nov 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.23 | −2.27 |
| M13 | Nantes · Away23 Nov 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.47 | −2.73 |
| M14 | Nice · Home30 Nov 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.53 | −1.20 |
| M15 | Lyon · Home7 Dec 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.94 | +0.74 |
| M16 | Strasbourg · Away14 Dec 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.11 | +0.85 |
| M17 | Metz · Home4 Jan 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.81 | +0.04 |
| M18 | Monaco · Away16 Jan 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +2.20 | +2.24 |
| M19 | Rennes · Away24 Jan 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.11 | +4.35 |
| M20 | Nantes · Home31 Jan 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.21 | +5.56 |
| M21 | Brest · Away7 Feb 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.17 | +4.39 |
| M22 | Angers · Home15 Feb 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.26 | +5.65 |
| M23 | Nice · Away22 Feb 2026 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.13 | +5.52 |
| M24 | Auxerre · Home1 Mar 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.66 | +4.86 |
| M25 | Lille · Away8 Mar 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.31 | +5.18 |
| M26 | Lens · Home14 Mar 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.19 | +7.37 |
| M27 | Toulouse · Away21 Mar 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.88 | +6.49 |
| M28 | Paris FC · Home5 Apr 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.49 | +6.00 |
| M29 | Lyon · Away12 Apr 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.79 | +5.21 |
| M30 | Marseille · Home18 Apr 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.15 | +7.37 |
| M31 | Strasbourg · Home26 Apr 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.61 | +5.76 |
| M32 | Paris Saint-Germain · Away2 May 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.46 | +6.22 |
| M33 | Metz · Away10 May 2026 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.51 | +7.73 |
| M34 | Le Havre · Home17 May 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.49 | +6.23 |
| Total | 45 | +6.23 | |||