Points
60Points expected by the market
54.63Gap
+5.37Yield
+24.5%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 3 | 9 | +2.36 | +40.3% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 18 | 32 | −0.86 | −13.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 16 | +3.12 | +41.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 3 | +0.75 | +178.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 3 | 9 | +2.36 | +40.3% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 22 | +3.37 | +22.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 6 | +1.84 | +68.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −0.73 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 10 | −4.23 | −57.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 10 | +1.28 | +29.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 3 | +1.48 | +317.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Lens · Away16 Aug 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.70 | +1.70 |
| M2 | Metz · Home23 Aug 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.78 | +2.48 |
| M3 | Marseille · Home31 Aug 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.73 | +4.21 |
| M4 | Rennes · Away14 Sep 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.31 | +2.90 |
| M5 | Angers · Home19 Sep 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.83 | +3.73 |
| M6 | Lille · Away28 Sep 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.80 | +5.52 |
| M7 | Toulouse · Home5 Oct 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.70 | +3.82 |
| M8 | Nice · Away18 Oct 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.19 | +2.63 |
| M9 | Strasbourg · Home26 Oct 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.27 | +3.90 |
| M10 | Paris FC · Away29 Oct 2025 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.39 | +3.51 |
| M11 | Brest · Away2 Nov 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.59 | +2.91 |
| M12 | Paris Saint-Germain · Home9 Nov 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.73 | +2.19 |
| M13 | Auxerre · Away23 Nov 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.71 | +1.48 |
| M14 | Nantes · Home30 Nov 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.75 | +2.23 |
| M15 | Lorient · Away7 Dec 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.66 | +0.57 |
| M16 | Le Havre · Home14 Dec 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.00 | +1.57 |
| M17 | Monaco · Away3 Jan 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.88 | +3.45 |
| M18 | Brest · Home18 Jan 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.03 | +4.49 |
| M19 | Metz · Away25 Jan 2026 | W 5-2 | 3 | +1.05 | +5.54 |
| M20 | Lille · Home1 Feb 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.45 | +6.99 |
| M21 | Nantes · Away7 Feb 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.09 | +8.08 |
| M22 | Nice · Home15 Feb 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.20 | +9.29 |
| M23 | Strasbourg · Away22 Feb 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.21 | +8.07 |
| M24 | Marseille · Away1 Mar 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.01 | +7.06 |
| M25 | Paris FC · Home8 Mar 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.82 | +6.24 |
| M26 | Le Havre · Away15 Mar 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.62 | +5.62 |
| M27 | Monaco · Home22 Mar 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.34 | +4.28 |
| M28 | Angers · Away5 Apr 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.01 | +3.27 |
| M29 | Lorient · Home12 Apr 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.03 | +4.30 |
| M30 | Paris Saint-Germain · Away19 Apr 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.49 | +6.79 |
| M31 | Auxerre · Home25 Apr 2026 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.02 | +7.81 |
| M32 | Rennes · Home3 May 2026 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.38 | +9.19 |
| M33 | Toulouse · Away10 May 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.78 | +7.41 |
| M34 | Lens · Home17 May 2026 | L 0-4 | 0 | −2.05 | +5.37 |
| Total | 60 | +5.37 | |||