Points
59Points expected by the market
61.03Gap
−2.03Yield
−3.3%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 8 | 19 | +0.53 | +2.1% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 20 | 37 | +1.21 | +3.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 0 | −5.15 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 3 | +1.39 | +99.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 8 | 19 | +0.53 | +2.1% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 15 | +0.86 | −2.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 3 | +2.05 | +299.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 12 | 22 | +0.35 | +7.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 0 | −5.15 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −0.66 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Rennes · Away15 Aug 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.73 | −1.73 |
| M2 | Paris FC · Home23 Aug 2025 | W 5-2 | 3 | +0.78 | −0.95 |
| M3 | Lyon · Away31 Aug 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.46 | −2.41 |
| M4 | Lorient · Home12 Sep 2025 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.71 | −1.70 |
| M5 | Paris Saint-Germain · Home22 Sep 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.05 | +0.35 |
| M6 | Strasbourg · Away26 Sep 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.42 | +1.77 |
| M7 | Metz · Away4 Oct 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.93 | +2.70 |
| M8 | Le Havre · Home18 Oct 2025 | W 6-2 | 3 | +0.67 | +3.37 |
| M9 | Lens · Away25 Oct 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.33 | +2.04 |
| M10 | Angers · Home29 Oct 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.46 | +0.58 |
| M11 | Auxerre · Away1 Nov 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.04 | +1.61 |
| M12 | Brest · Home8 Nov 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.86 | +2.47 |
| M13 | Nice · Away21 Nov 2025 | W 5-1 | 3 | +1.29 | +3.77 |
| M14 | Toulouse · Home29 Nov 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.96 | +2.80 |
| M15 | Lille · Away5 Dec 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.25 | +1.56 |
| M16 | Monaco · Home14 Dec 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.33 | +2.89 |
| M17 | Nantes · Home4 Jan 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −2.42 | +0.47 |
| M18 | Angers · Away17 Jan 2026 | W 5-2 | 3 | +0.97 | +1.44 |
| M19 | Lens · Home24 Jan 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.38 | +2.82 |
| M20 | Paris FC · Away31 Jan 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.84 | +1.98 |
| M21 | Paris Saint-Germain · Away8 Feb 2026 | L 0-5 | 0 | −0.66 | +1.32 |
| M22 | Strasbourg · Home14 Feb 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.73 | +0.59 |
| M23 | Brest · Away20 Feb 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.76 | −1.17 |
| M24 | Lyon · Home1 Mar 2026 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.27 | +0.10 |
| M25 | Toulouse · Away7 Mar 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.43 | +1.53 |
| M26 | Auxerre · Home13 Mar 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.81 | +2.34 |
| M27 | Lille · Home22 Mar 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.78 | +0.56 |
| M28 | Monaco · Away5 Apr 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.11 | −0.55 |
| M29 | Metz · Home10 Apr 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.57 | +0.02 |
| M30 | Lorient · Away18 Apr 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.93 | −1.91 |
| M31 | Nice · Home26 Apr 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.89 | −2.80 |
| M32 | Nantes · Away2 May 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.73 | −4.53 |
| M33 | Le Havre · Away10 May 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.27 | −3.26 |
| M34 | Rennes · Home17 May 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.24 | −2.03 |
| Total | 59 | −2.03 | |||