Points
17Points expected by the market
28.68Gap
−11.68Yield
−62.7%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 9 | −2.31 | −29.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 25 | 8 | −9.37 | −74.8% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 6 | −3.11 | −57.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 10 | 4 | −3.98 | −37.1% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 3 | +0.80 | +69.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 15 | 4 | −5.39 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Strasbourg · Home17 Aug 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.05 | −1.05 |
| M2 | Lyon · Away23 Aug 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.59 | −1.64 |
| M3 | Paris FC · Away31 Aug 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.87 | −2.51 |
| M4 | Angers · Home14 Sep 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.55 | −3.06 |
| M5 | Monaco · Away21 Sep 2025 | L 2-5 | 0 | −0.50 | −3.56 |
| M6 | Le Havre · Home28 Sep 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.39 | −3.94 |
| M7 | Marseille · Home4 Oct 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.71 | −4.65 |
| M8 | Toulouse · Away19 Oct 2025 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.69 | −5.35 |
| M9 | Lille · Away26 Oct 2025 | L 1-6 | 0 | −0.40 | −5.75 |
| M10 | Lens · Home29 Oct 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.35 | −3.40 |
| M11 | Nantes · Away2 Nov 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.90 | −1.50 |
| M12 | Nice · Home9 Nov 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.79 | +0.29 |
| M13 | Brest · Away23 Nov 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.92 | −0.64 |
| M14 | Rennes · Home28 Nov 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.03 | −1.66 |
| M15 | Auxerre · Away7 Dec 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.03 | −2.70 |
| M16 | Paris Saint-Germain · Home13 Dec 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.43 | −3.13 |
| M17 | Lorient · Away4 Jan 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.07 | −3.06 |
| M18 | Strasbourg · Away18 Jan 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.60 | −3.66 |
| M19 | Lyon · Home25 Jan 2026 | L 2-5 | 0 | −0.80 | −4.46 |
| M20 | Angers · Away1 Feb 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.10 | −5.56 |
| M21 | Lille · Home6 Feb 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.32 | −5.24 |
| M22 | Auxerre · Home15 Feb 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.24 | −6.48 |
| M23 | Paris Saint-Germain · Away21 Feb 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.28 | −6.76 |
| M24 | Brest · Home1 Mar 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.07 | −7.83 |
| M25 | Lens · Away8 Mar 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.44 | −8.27 |
| M26 | Toulouse · Home15 Mar 2026 | L 3-4 | 0 | −1.00 | −9.27 |
| M27 | Rennes · Away22 Mar 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.52 | −8.75 |
| M28 | Nantes · Home5 Apr 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.29 | −9.04 |
| M29 | Marseille · Away10 Apr 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.43 | −9.47 |
| M30 | Paris FC · Home19 Apr 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.19 | −10.66 |
| M31 | Le Havre · Away26 Apr 2026 | D 4-4 | 1 | +0.24 | −10.42 |
| M32 | Monaco · Home2 May 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.56 | −10.98 |
| M33 | Lorient · Home10 May 2026 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.24 | −12.22 |
| M34 | Nice · Away17 May 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.54 | −11.68 |
| Total | 17 | −11.68 | |||