Points
54Points expected by the market
58.72Gap
−4.72Yield
+9.8%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 6 | 18 | +4.35 | +35.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 21 | 24 | −13.61 | −48.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 3 | −1.08 | −16.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 9 | +5.61 | +296.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 5 | 15 | +3.63 | +35.4% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 14 | −3.91 | −23.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.37 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 3 | +2.14 | +342.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.73 | +33.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 10 | −9.69 | −70.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 3 | +0.29 | +25.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 6 | +3.47 | +281.3% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Le Havre · Home16 Aug 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.52 | +0.52 |
| M2 | Lille · Away24 Aug 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.60 | −1.08 |
| M3 | Strasbourg · Home31 Aug 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +0.82 | −0.26 |
| M4 | Auxerre · Away13 Sep 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.98 | +0.72 |
| M5 | Metz · Home21 Sep 2025 | W 5-2 | 3 | +0.66 | +1.39 |
| M6 | Lorient · Away27 Sep 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.76 | −0.37 |
| M7 | Nice · Home5 Oct 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.72 | −1.09 |
| M8 | Angers · Away18 Oct 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.99 | −2.09 |
| M9 | Toulouse · Home25 Oct 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.37 | −0.71 |
| M10 | Nantes · Away29 Oct 2025 | W 5-3 | 3 | +1.08 | +0.37 |
| M11 | Paris FC · Home1 Nov 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.93 | −1.56 |
| M12 | Lens · Home8 Nov 2025 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.68 | −3.24 |
| M13 | Rennes · Away22 Nov 2025 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.32 | −4.56 |
| M14 | Paris Saint-Germain · Home29 Nov 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.14 | −2.42 |
| M15 | Brest · Away5 Dec 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.65 | −4.07 |
| M16 | Marseille · Away14 Dec 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.07 | −5.14 |
| M17 | Lyon · Home3 Jan 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.62 | −6.76 |
| M18 | Lorient · Home16 Jan 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.97 | −8.73 |
| M19 | Le Havre · Away24 Jan 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.83 | −9.56 |
| M20 | Rennes · Home31 Jan 2026 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.29 | −8.27 |
| M21 | Nice · Away8 Feb 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.64 | −8.90 |
| M22 | Nantes · Home13 Feb 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.83 | −8.08 |
| M23 | Lens · Away21 Feb 2026 | W 3-2 | 3 | +2.11 | −5.97 |
| M24 | Angers · Home28 Feb 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.80 | −5.17 |
| M25 | Paris Saint-Germain · Away6 Mar 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +2.43 | −2.73 |
| M26 | Brest · Home14 Mar 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.99 | −1.74 |
| M27 | Lyon · Away22 Mar 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.61 | −0.13 |
| M28 | Marseille · Home5 Apr 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.37 | +1.23 |
| M29 | Paris FC · Away10 Apr 2026 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.74 | −0.51 |
| M30 | Auxerre · Home19 Apr 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.01 | −1.52 |
| M31 | Toulouse · Away25 Apr 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.88 | −2.40 |
| M32 | Metz · Away2 May 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.73 | −1.68 |
| M33 | Lille · Home10 May 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.37 | −3.05 |
| M34 | Strasbourg · Away17 May 2026 | L 4-5 | 0 | −1.67 | −4.72 |
| Total | 54 | −4.72 | |||