Points
24Points expected by the market
32.90Gap
−8.90Yield
−28.3%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.63 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 10 | −3.73 | −51.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 23 | 14 | −3.54 | −15.2% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.63 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 9 | −3.31 | −45.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 7 | 4 | −1.69 | −48.4% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 1 | 1 | −0.42 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 16 | 10 | −1.85 | −0.7% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Paris Saint-Germain · Home17 Aug 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.37 | −0.37 |
| M2 | Strasbourg · Away24 Aug 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.86 | −1.23 |
| M3 | Auxerre · Home30 Aug 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.57 | +0.34 |
| M4 | Nice · Away13 Sep 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.72 | −0.37 |
| M5 | Rennes · Home20 Sep 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.01 | −0.39 |
| M6 | Toulouse · Away27 Sep 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.19 | −0.19 |
| M7 | Brest · Away4 Oct 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.03 | −0.16 |
| M8 | Lille · Home19 Oct 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.77 | −0.94 |
| M9 | Paris FC · Away24 Oct 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.26 | +1.33 |
| M10 | Monaco · Home29 Oct 2025 | L 3-5 | 0 | −0.84 | +0.48 |
| M11 | Metz · Home2 Nov 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.63 | −1.15 |
| M12 | Le Havre · Away8 Nov 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.09 | −1.06 |
| M13 | Lorient · Home23 Nov 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.25 | −1.30 |
| M14 | Lyon · Away30 Nov 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.55 | −1.86 |
| M15 | Lens · Home6 Dec 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.83 | −2.68 |
| M16 | Angers · Away12 Dec 2025 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.09 | −3.77 |
| M17 | Marseille · Away4 Jan 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.57 | −1.20 |
| M18 | Paris FC · Home18 Jan 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.37 | −2.57 |
| M19 | Nice · Home25 Jan 2026 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.33 | −3.90 |
| M20 | Lorient · Away31 Jan 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.94 | −4.84 |
| M21 | Lyon · Home7 Feb 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.84 | −5.68 |
| M22 | Monaco · Away13 Feb 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.63 | −6.31 |
| M23 | Le Havre · Home22 Feb 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.53 | −4.77 |
| M24 | Lille · Away1 Mar 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.65 | −5.43 |
| M25 | Angers · Home7 Mar 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.60 | −7.02 |
| M26 | Strasbourg · Home22 Mar 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.10 | −8.12 |
| M27 | Metz · Away5 Apr 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.42 | −8.54 |
| M28 | Auxerre · Away11 Apr 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.04 | −8.50 |
| M29 | Brest · Home19 Apr 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.48 | −8.99 |
| M30 | Paris Saint-Germain · Away22 Apr 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.31 | −9.29 |
| M31 | Rennes · Away26 Apr 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.64 | −9.94 |
| M32 | Marseille · Home2 May 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.98 | −7.96 |
| M33 | Lens · Away8 May 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.65 | −8.61 |
| M34 | Toulouse · Home17 May 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.29 | −8.90 |
| Total | 24 | −8.90 | |||