Points
32Points expected by the market
44.02Gap
−12.02Yield
−48.0%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 1 | −1.38 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 9 | −5.04 | −58.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 15 | −2.50 | −19.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 12 | 7 | −3.09 | −68.3% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 1 | −1.38 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 9 | −3.47 | −52.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 6 | −0.72 | −55.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 4 | +0.49 | −4.7% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.57 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 9 | −1.78 | +3.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 3 | −3.58 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Toulouse · Home16 Aug 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.72 | −1.72 |
| M2 | Auxerre · Home23 Aug 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.18 | −0.55 |
| M3 | Le Havre · Away31 Aug 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.57 | −2.12 |
| M4 | Nantes · Home13 Sep 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.94 | −1.17 |
| M5 | Brest · Away20 Sep 2025 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.51 | −2.69 |
| M6 | Paris FC · Home28 Sep 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.65 | −3.33 |
| M7 | Monaco · Away5 Oct 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.03 | −3.36 |
| M8 | Lyon · Home18 Oct 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.46 | −1.90 |
| M9 | Rennes · Away26 Oct 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.91 | +0.01 |
| M10 | Lille · Home29 Oct 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.01 | +2.01 |
| M11 | Paris Saint-Germain · Away1 Nov 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.30 | +1.71 |
| M12 | Metz · Away9 Nov 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.53 | +0.18 |
| M13 | Marseille · Home21 Nov 2025 | L 1-5 | 0 | −1.03 | −0.85 |
| M14 | Lorient · Away30 Nov 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.25 | −2.10 |
| M15 | Angers · Home7 Dec 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.85 | −3.95 |
| M16 | Lens · Away14 Dec 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.72 | −4.67 |
| M17 | Strasbourg · Home3 Jan 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.18 | −4.84 |
| M18 | Toulouse · Away17 Jan 2026 | L 1-5 | 0 | −1.01 | −5.86 |
| M19 | Nantes · Away25 Jan 2026 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.61 | −4.25 |
| M20 | Brest · Home1 Feb 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.53 | −4.78 |
| M21 | Monaco · Home8 Feb 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.12 | −4.90 |
| M22 | Lyon · Away15 Feb 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.95 | −5.84 |
| M23 | Lorient · Home22 Feb 2026 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.59 | −6.43 |
| M24 | Paris FC · Away1 Mar 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.28 | −7.71 |
| M25 | Rennes · Home8 Mar 2026 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.35 | −9.07 |
| M26 | Angers · Away14 Mar 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.50 | −7.57 |
| M27 | Paris Saint-Germain · Home21 Mar 2026 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.64 | −8.21 |
| M28 | Strasbourg · Away4 Apr 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.03 | −9.24 |
| M29 | Le Havre · Home12 Apr 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.78 | −10.02 |
| M30 | Lille · Away18 Apr 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.32 | −9.70 |
| M31 | Marseille · Away26 Apr 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.13 | −9.57 |
| M32 | Lens · Home2 May 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.16 | −9.41 |
| M33 | Auxerre · Away10 May 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.22 | −10.64 |
| M34 | Metz · Home17 May 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.38 | −12.02 |
| Total | 32 | −12.02 | |||