Points
44Points expected by the market
41.97Gap
+2.03Yield
−7.7%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 14 | +1.25 | +6.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 17 | −0.83 | −23.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 14 | 13 | +1.61 | −0.4% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 14 | +1.25 | +6.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 4 | −3.14 | −51.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 7 | +2.54 | +87.4% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 13 | +2.31 | −5.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 9 | 6 | −0.93 | −49.1% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Angers · Away17 Aug 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.49 | −1.49 |
| M2 | Marseille · Away23 Aug 2025 | L 2-5 | 0 | −0.59 | −2.08 |
| M3 | Metz · Home31 Aug 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.12 | −0.96 |
| M4 | Brest · Away14 Sep 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.64 | +0.69 |
| M5 | Strasbourg · Home21 Sep 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.47 | −0.79 |
| M6 | Nice · Away28 Sep 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.09 | −0.88 |
| M7 | Lorient · Home3 Oct 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.14 | +0.26 |
| M8 | Lens · Away19 Oct 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.93 | −0.67 |
| M9 | Nantes · Home24 Oct 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.03 | −2.70 |
| M10 | Lyon · Home29 Oct 2025 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.33 | −3.03 |
| M11 | Monaco · Away1 Nov 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.16 | −0.88 |
| M12 | Rennes · Home7 Nov 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.54 | −2.42 |
| M13 | Lille · Away23 Nov 2025 | L 2-4 | 0 | −0.81 | −3.23 |
| M14 | Auxerre · Home29 Nov 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.77 | −4.00 |
| M15 | Le Havre · Away7 Dec 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.39 | −4.40 |
| M16 | Toulouse · Home13 Dec 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.35 | −5.74 |
| M17 | Paris Saint-Germain · Away4 Jan 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.27 | −6.01 |
| M18 | Nantes · Away18 Jan 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.67 | −4.34 |
| M19 | Angers · Home25 Jan 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.79 | −5.13 |
| M20 | Marseille · Home31 Jan 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.09 | −5.04 |
| M21 | Auxerre · Away8 Feb 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.27 | −5.31 |
| M22 | Lens · Home14 Feb 2026 | L 0-5 | 0 | −1.00 | −6.31 |
| M23 | Toulouse · Away21 Feb 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.01 | −6.32 |
| M24 | Nice · Home1 Mar 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.56 | −4.76 |
| M25 | Lyon · Away8 Mar 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.09 | −4.67 |
| M26 | Strasbourg · Away15 Mar 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.18 | −4.48 |
| M27 | Le Havre · Home22 Mar 2026 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.36 | −3.12 |
| M28 | Lorient · Away5 Apr 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.22 | −3.34 |
| M29 | Monaco · Home10 Apr 2026 | W 4-1 | 3 | +2.00 | −1.35 |
| M30 | Metz · Away19 Apr 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.46 | +0.12 |
| M31 | Lille · Home26 Apr 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.85 | −0.74 |
| M32 | Brest · Home3 May 2026 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.22 | +0.48 |
| M33 | Rennes · Away10 May 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.76 | −0.28 |
| M34 | Paris Saint-Germain · Home17 May 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.31 | +2.03 |
| Total | 44 | +2.03 | |||