Points
76Points expected by the market
77.88Gap
−1.88Yield
−7.7%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 28 | 66 | −0.87 | −6.4% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 10 | −1.01 | −13.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 17 | 41 | −0.28 | −7.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 11 | 25 | −0.59 | −5.5% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 10 | −1.01 | −13.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Nantes · Away17 Aug 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.51 | +0.51 |
| M2 | Angers · Home22 Aug 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.25 | +0.77 |
| M3 | Toulouse · Away30 Aug 2025 | W 6-3 | 3 | +0.68 | +1.44 |
| M4 | Lens · Home14 Sep 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.71 | +2.16 |
| M5 | Marseille · Away22 Sep 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.80 | +0.36 |
| M6 | Auxerre · Home27 Sep 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.52 | +0.87 |
| M7 | Lille · Away5 Oct 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.64 | +0.23 |
| M8 | Strasbourg · Home17 Oct 2025 | D 3-3 | 1 | −1.23 | −0.99 |
| M9 | Brest · Away25 Oct 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.69 | −0.31 |
| M10 | Lorient · Away29 Oct 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.41 | −1.71 |
| M11 | Nice · Home1 Nov 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.42 | −1.29 |
| M12 | Lyon · Away9 Nov 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +0.96 | −0.34 |
| M13 | Le Havre · Home22 Nov 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.52 | +0.18 |
| M14 | Monaco · Away29 Nov 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.92 | −1.74 |
| M15 | Rennes · Home6 Dec 2025 | W 5-0 | 3 | +0.62 | −1.12 |
| M16 | Metz · Away13 Dec 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +0.58 | −0.54 |
| M17 | Paris FC · Home4 Jan 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.37 | −0.17 |
| M18 | Lille · Home16 Jan 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.61 | +0.45 |
| M19 | Auxerre · Away23 Jan 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.72 | +1.16 |
| M20 | Strasbourg · Away1 Feb 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.02 | +2.18 |
| M21 | Marseille · Home8 Feb 2026 | W 5-0 | 3 | +0.85 | +3.03 |
| M22 | Rennes · Away13 Feb 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −2.28 | +0.76 |
| M23 | Metz · Home21 Feb 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.39 | +1.15 |
| M24 | Le Havre · Away28 Feb 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.63 | +1.78 |
| M25 | Monaco · Home6 Mar 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −2.26 | −0.48 |
| M26 | Nice · Away21 Mar 2026 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.84 | +0.36 |
| M27 | Toulouse · Home3 Apr 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.62 | +0.98 |
| M28 | Lyon · Home19 Apr 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.32 | −1.35 |
| M29 | Nantes · Home22 Apr 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.43 | −0.92 |
| M30 | Angers · Away25 Apr 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.56 | −0.36 |
| M31 | Lorient · Home2 May 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.29 | −1.65 |
| M32 | Brest · Home10 May 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.50 | −1.14 |
| M33 | Lens · Away13 May 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.37 | +0.23 |
| M34 | Paris FC · Away17 May 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.11 | −1.88 |
| Total | 76 | −1.88 | |||