Points
59Points expected by the market
50.15Gap
+8.85Yield
+33.9%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 3 | 7 | +0.20 | −7.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 12 | 19 | −2.43 | −24.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 23 | +7.83 | +62.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 10 | +3.25 | +96.9% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 3 | 7 | +0.20 | −7.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 11 | −3.40 | −33.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 10 | +4.46 | +90.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 6 | +4.44 | +463.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 8 | +0.97 | −5.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 13 | +3.36 | +46.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 4 | −1.19 | −25.3% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Marseille · Home15 Aug 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.99 | +1.99 |
| M2 | Lorient · Away24 Aug 2025 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.40 | +0.59 |
| M3 | Angers · Away31 Aug 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.83 | −0.24 |
| M4 | Lyon · Home14 Sep 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.59 | +1.35 |
| M5 | Nantes · Away20 Sep 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.71 | +0.63 |
| M6 | Lens · Home28 Sep 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.37 | +0.26 |
| M7 | Le Havre · Away5 Oct 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.53 | −0.27 |
| M8 | Auxerre · Home19 Oct 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.81 | −1.08 |
| M9 | Nice · Home26 Oct 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.64 | −2.72 |
| M10 | Toulouse · Away29 Oct 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.03 | −2.75 |
| M11 | Strasbourg · Home2 Nov 2025 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.67 | −1.08 |
| M12 | Paris FC · Away7 Nov 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.81 | +0.73 |
| M13 | Monaco · Home22 Nov 2025 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.58 | +2.31 |
| M14 | Metz · Away28 Nov 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.27 | +3.58 |
| M15 | Paris Saint-Germain · Away6 Dec 2025 | L 0-5 | 0 | −0.47 | +3.11 |
| M16 | Brest · Home13 Dec 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.21 | +4.32 |
| M17 | Lille · Away3 Jan 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.12 | +6.45 |
| M18 | Le Havre · Home18 Jan 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.00 | +5.44 |
| M19 | Lorient · Home24 Jan 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.85 | +3.59 |
| M20 | Monaco · Away31 Jan 2026 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.05 | +2.54 |
| M21 | Lens · Away7 Feb 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.76 | +1.78 |
| M22 | Paris Saint-Germain · Home13 Feb 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +2.45 | +4.23 |
| M23 | Auxerre · Away22 Feb 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.56 | +5.79 |
| M24 | Toulouse · Home28 Feb 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.30 | +7.09 |
| M25 | Nice · Away8 Mar 2026 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.63 | +8.72 |
| M26 | Lille · Home15 Mar 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.57 | +7.14 |
| M27 | Metz · Home22 Mar 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.36 | +5.79 |
| M28 | Brest · Away4 Apr 2026 | W 4-3 | 3 | +1.45 | +7.23 |
| M29 | Angers · Home11 Apr 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.70 | +7.94 |
| M30 | Strasbourg · Away19 Apr 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.24 | +9.18 |
| M31 | Nantes · Home26 Apr 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.85 | +10.03 |
| M32 | Lyon · Away3 May 2026 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.14 | +8.89 |
| M33 | Paris FC · Home10 May 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.96 | +9.85 |
| M34 | Marseille · Away17 May 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.01 | +8.85 |
| Total | 59 | +8.85 | |||