Points
53Points expected by the market
48.71Gap
+4.29Yield
−1.2%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.81 | +42.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 13 | 27 | +3.79 | +15.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 21 | +2.74 | +22.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 2 | −3.04 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.81 | +42.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 17 | +2.10 | +10.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 10 | +2.15 | +35.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 0 | −1.80 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 10 | +1.69 | +23.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 11 | +0.58 | +12.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 2 | −1.24 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Metz · Away17 Aug 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.32 | +1.32 |
| M2 | Nantes · Home24 Aug 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.12 | +2.44 |
| M3 | Monaco · Away31 Aug 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.62 | +1.82 |
| M4 | Le Havre · Home14 Sep 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.17 | +2.98 |
| M5 | Paris FC · Away21 Sep 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.75 | +4.73 |
| M6 | Marseille · Home26 Sep 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.15 | +3.58 |
| M7 | Angers · Home5 Oct 2025 | W 5-0 | 3 | +1.10 | +4.68 |
| M8 | Paris Saint-Germain · Away17 Oct 2025 | D 3-3 | 1 | +0.41 | +5.09 |
| M9 | Lyon · Away26 Oct 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.01 | +4.08 |
| M10 | Auxerre · Home29 Oct 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.07 | +5.15 |
| M11 | Rennes · Away2 Nov 2025 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.40 | +3.76 |
| M12 | Lille · Home9 Nov 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.67 | +5.43 |
| M13 | Lens · Away22 Nov 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.13 | +4.30 |
| M14 | Brest · Home30 Nov 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.83 | +2.47 |
| M15 | Toulouse · Away6 Dec 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.30 | +1.17 |
| M16 | Lorient · Home14 Dec 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.86 | +0.31 |
| M17 | Nice · Away3 Jan 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.55 | −0.23 |
| M18 | Metz · Home18 Jan 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.81 | +0.57 |
| M19 | Lille · Away25 Jan 2026 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.73 | +2.30 |
| M20 | Paris Saint-Germain · Home1 Feb 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.79 | +1.51 |
| M21 | Le Havre · Away8 Feb 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.81 | −0.30 |
| M22 | Marseille · Away14 Feb 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.02 | −0.32 |
| M23 | Lyon · Home22 Feb 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.48 | +1.16 |
| M24 | Lens · Home27 Feb 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.53 | +0.63 |
| M25 | Auxerre · Away7 Mar 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.59 | +0.04 |
| M26 | Paris FC · Home15 Mar 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.95 | −0.91 |
| M27 | Nantes · Away22 Mar 2026 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.37 | +0.46 |
| M28 | Nice · Home4 Apr 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.28 | +1.74 |
| M29 | Rennes · Home19 Apr 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.00 | +0.74 |
| M30 | Lorient · Away26 Apr 2026 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.87 | +2.61 |
| M31 | Toulouse · Home3 May 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.21 | +1.39 |
| M32 | Angers · Away10 May 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.39 | +1.00 |
| M33 | Brest · Away13 May 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.39 | +2.39 |
| M34 | Monaco · Home17 May 2026 | W 5-4 | 3 | +1.90 | +4.29 |
| Total | 53 | +4.29 | |||