Points
45Points expected by the market
46.53Gap
−1.53Yield
−8.6%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 17 | −3.10 | −34.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 17 | −1.12 | −5.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 10 | 11 | +2.70 | +15.9% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 14 | −2.74 | −41.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 6 | −0.71 | −5.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 4 | +1.64 | +29.7% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 3 | −0.36 | −2.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 11 | −0.41 | −5.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 7 | 7 | +1.06 | +10.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Nice · Away16 Aug 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.00 | +2.00 |
| M2 | Brest · Home24 Aug 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.44 | +3.44 |
| M3 | Paris Saint-Germain · Home30 Aug 2025 | L 3-6 | 0 | −0.50 | +2.93 |
| M4 | Lille · Away14 Sep 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.94 | +1.99 |
| M5 | Auxerre · Away21 Sep 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.56 | +0.43 |
| M6 | Nantes · Home27 Sep 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.94 | −0.50 |
| M7 | Lyon · Away5 Oct 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.98 | +1.48 |
| M8 | Metz · Home19 Oct 2025 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.92 | +2.39 |
| M9 | Monaco · Away25 Oct 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.11 | +1.28 |
| M10 | Rennes · Home29 Oct 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.70 | +0.58 |
| M11 | Le Havre · Home2 Nov 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.91 | −0.33 |
| M12 | Lorient · Away9 Nov 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.48 | −0.81 |
| M13 | Angers · Home23 Nov 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.97 | −2.78 |
| M14 | Marseille · Away29 Nov 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.20 | −2.58 |
| M15 | Strasbourg · Home6 Dec 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.59 | −0.99 |
| M16 | Paris FC · Away13 Dec 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.65 | +0.66 |
| M17 | Lens · Home2 Jan 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.42 | −0.76 |
| M18 | Nice · Home17 Jan 2026 | W 5-1 | 3 | +1.28 | +0.52 |
| M19 | Brest · Away25 Jan 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.60 | +2.12 |
| M20 | Auxerre · Home1 Feb 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.88 | +1.24 |
| M21 | Angers · Away8 Feb 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.64 | −0.40 |
| M22 | Le Havre · Away15 Feb 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.55 | −1.95 |
| M23 | Paris FC · Home21 Feb 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.70 | −2.66 |
| M24 | Rennes · Away28 Feb 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.04 | −3.69 |
| M25 | Marseille · Home7 Mar 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.16 | −4.85 |
| M26 | Metz · Away15 Mar 2026 | W 4-3 | 3 | +1.28 | −3.57 |
| M27 | Lorient · Home21 Mar 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.16 | −2.42 |
| M28 | Paris Saint-Germain · Away3 Apr 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.46 | −2.87 |
| M29 | Lille · Home12 Apr 2026 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.16 | −4.03 |
| M30 | Lens · Away17 Apr 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.69 | −4.72 |
| M31 | Monaco · Home25 Apr 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.11 | −4.61 |
| M32 | Strasbourg · Away3 May 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.48 | −3.12 |
| M33 | Lyon · Home10 May 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.03 | −1.09 |
| M34 | Nantes · Away17 May 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.44 | −1.53 |
| Total | 45 | −1.53 | |||