← Ligue 2 2019-20

Caen

Season 2019-20 · 28 matches played

Last 5DLWWL

Points

Points expected by the market

35.61

Gap

−1.61

Yield

−8.3%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds band	Matches playedMP	PointsPts	Expected	Gap	Yield
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	5	9	8.53	+0.47	−22.8%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	13	13	17.39	−4.39	−39.2%
Underdog 3.50 or more	10	12	9.68	+2.32	+39.2%
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	5	9	8.53	+0.47	−22.8%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	8	8	10.49	−2.49	−35.1%
Underdog 3.50 or more few matches	1	0	1.07	−1.07	−100.0%
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	0	—	—	—	—
Even 2.20 – 3.49	5	5	6.90	−1.90	−45.6%
Underdog 3.50 or more	9	12	8.61	+3.39	+54.7%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

M	Opponent	Date	ResultRes.	Odds to win	Expected	PointsPts	Gap	Running total	€1 bet
M1	Sochaux · Away26 Jul 2019	26 Jul 2019	D 0-0	2.73	1.36	1	−0.36	−0.36	−€1.00
M2	Lorient · Home5 Aug 2019	5 Aug 2019	L 1-2	3.30	1.18	0	−1.18	−1.54	−€1.00
M3	Ajaccio · Away9 Aug 2019	9 Aug 2019	W 2-1	3.78	1.07	3	+1.93	+0.38	+€2.78
M4	Chambly · Home16 Aug 2019	16 Aug 2019	D 0-0	2.79	1.35	1	−0.35	+0.04	−€1.00
M5	Niort · Away23 Aug 2019	23 Aug 2019	D 1-1	3.16	1.21	1	−0.21	−0.17	−€1.00
M6	Le Havre · Home30 Aug 2019	30 Aug 2019	L 0-3	3.03	1.26	0	−1.26	−1.43	−€1.00
M7	Troyes · Away13 Sep 2019	13 Sep 2019	L 1-2	5.20	0.83	0	−0.83	−2.26	−€1.00
M8	Lens · Home21 Sep 2019	21 Sep 2019	L 0-2	3.72	1.07	0	−1.07	−3.34	−€1.00
M9	Grenoble · Away27 Sep 2019	27 Sep 2019	L 0-1	4.15	0.98	0	−0.98	−4.32	−€1.00
M10	Chateauroux · Home4 Oct 2019	4 Oct 2019	D 1-1	2.10	1.65	1	−0.65	−4.97	−€1.00
M11	Valenciennes · Home18 Oct 2019	18 Oct 2019	D 0-0	2.06	1.67	1	−0.67	−5.64	−€1.00
M12	Paris FC · Away25 Oct 2019	25 Oct 2019	W 4-2	3.61	1.12	3	+1.88	−3.76	+€2.61
M13	Orleans · Home1 Nov 2019	1 Nov 2019	W 2-1	2.10	1.65	3	+1.35	−2.41	+€1.10
M14	Auxerre · Away8 Nov 2019	8 Nov 2019	D 1-1	4.05	1.02	1	−0.02	−2.43	−€1.00
M15	Le Mans · Home22 Nov 2019	22 Nov 2019	D 3-3	2.03	1.69	1	−0.69	−3.12	−€1.00
M16	Guingamp · Away29 Nov 2019	29 Nov 2019	D 1-1	3.90	1.03	1	−0.03	−3.15	−€1.00
M17	Nancy · Home2 Dec 2019	2 Dec 2019	W 1-0	2.64	1.40	3	+1.60	−1.55	+€1.64
M18	Rodez · Away13 Dec 2019	13 Dec 2019	L 1-2	2.57	1.42	0	−1.42	−2.97	−€1.00
M19	Clermont · Home20 Dec 2019	20 Dec 2019	D 0-0	3.26	1.20	1	−0.20	−3.17	−€1.00
M20	Lorient · Away13 Jan 2020	13 Jan 2020	L 1-2	5.54	0.78	0	−0.78	−3.95	−€1.00
M21	Ajaccio · Home24 Jan 2020	24 Jan 2020	L 0-1	2.93	1.30	0	−1.30	−5.25	−€1.00
M22	Chambly · Away31 Jan 2020	31 Jan 2020	W 1-0	2.72	1.38	3	+1.62	−3.62	+€1.72
M23	Niort · Home4 Feb 2020	4 Feb 2020	W 4-3	1.76	1.87	3	+1.13	−2.49	+€0.76
M24	Le Havre · Away7 Feb 2020	7 Feb 2020	D 1-1	3.70	1.08	1	−0.08	−2.57	−€1.00
M25	Troyes · Home14 Feb 2020	14 Feb 2020	L 0-1	2.73	1.37	0	−1.37	−3.95	−€1.00
M26	Lens · Away22 Feb 2020	22 Feb 2020	W 4-1	6.53	0.70	3	+2.30	−1.64	+€5.53
M27	Grenoble · Home28 Feb 2020	28 Feb 2020	W 2-0	2.55	1.43	3	+1.57	−0.08	+€1.55
M28	Chateauroux · Away6 Mar 2020	6 Mar 2020	L 1-2	2.31	1.53	0	−1.53	−1.61	−€1.00
Total					35.61	34	−1.61		−€2.31