← Ligue 2 2019-20

Guingamp

Season 2019-20 · 28 matches played

Last 5WWDLL

Points

Points expected by the market

42.43

Gap

−3.43

Yield

−10.1%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds band	Matches playedMP	PointsPts	Expected	Gap	Yield
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	13	18	22.47	−4.47	−40.9%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	13	17	17.93	−0.93	+0.7%
Underdog 3.50 or more few matches	2	4	2.03	+1.97	+120.5%
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	11	17	19.22	−2.22	−30.2%
Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches	3	4	4.01	−0.01	+4.0%
Underdog 3.50 or more	0	—	—	—	—
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches	2	1	3.25	−2.25	−100.0%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	10	13	13.92	−0.92	−0.3%
Underdog 3.50 or more few matches	2	4	2.03	+1.97	+120.5%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

M	Opponent	Date	ResultRes.	Odds to win	Expected	PointsPts	Gap	Running total	€1 bet
M1	Grenoble · Home26 Jul 2019	26 Jul 2019	D 3-3	1.90	1.77	1	−0.77	−0.77	−€1.00
M2	Lens · Away3 Aug 2019	3 Aug 2019	L 0-2	3.34	1.15	0	−1.15	−1.93	−€1.00
M3	Orleans · Home9 Aug 2019	9 Aug 2019	W 1-0	1.77	1.87	3	+1.13	−0.80	+€0.77
M4	Auxerre · Away19 Aug 2019	19 Aug 2019	D 2-2	3.55	1.10	1	−0.10	−0.90	−€1.00
M5	Valenciennes · Home26 Aug 2019	26 Aug 2019	L 0-1	1.62	1.98	0	−1.98	−2.88	−€1.00
M6	Lorient · Away31 Aug 2019	31 Aug 2019	W 1-0	4.41	0.93	3	+2.07	−0.81	+€3.41
M7	Nancy · Home13 Sep 2019	13 Sep 2019	D 1-1	1.97	1.72	1	−0.72	−1.53	−€1.00
M8	Sochaux · Away20 Sep 2019	20 Sep 2019	L 1-3	3.02	1.26	0	−1.26	−2.79	−€1.00
M9	Le Mans · Home30 Sep 2019	30 Sep 2019	W 3-0	1.77	1.85	3	+1.15	−1.64	+€0.77
M10	Rodez · Home4 Oct 2019	4 Oct 2019	W 4-1	1.97	1.72	3	+1.28	−0.35	+€0.97
M11	Niort · Away18 Oct 2019	18 Oct 2019	D 0-0	2.12	1.61	1	−0.61	−0.96	−€1.00
M12	Clermont · Home25 Oct 2019	25 Oct 2019	L 1-2	2.18	1.59	0	−1.59	−2.56	−€1.00
M13	Chambly · Away1 Nov 2019	1 Nov 2019	W 5-1	2.36	1.52	3	+1.48	−1.07	+€1.36
M14	Ajaccio · Home9 Nov 2019	9 Nov 2019	D 1-1	2.05	1.67	1	−0.67	−1.75	−€1.00
M15	Le Havre · Away25 Nov 2019	25 Nov 2019	L 0-4	2.88	1.28	0	−1.28	−3.02	−€1.00
M16	Caen · Home29 Nov 2019	29 Nov 2019	D 1-1	2.08	1.66	1	−0.66	−3.69	−€1.00
M17	Paris FC · Away3 Dec 2019	3 Dec 2019	W 3-0	2.46	1.46	3	+1.54	−2.14	+€1.46
M18	Troyes · Home16 Dec 2019	16 Dec 2019	L 0-1	2.23	1.57	0	−1.57	−3.71	−€1.00
M19	Chateauroux · Away20 Dec 2019	20 Dec 2019	W 5-1	2.25	1.55	3	+1.45	−2.26	+€1.25
M20	Lens · Home18 Jan 2020	18 Jan 2020	D 1-1	3.09	1.23	1	−0.23	−2.49	−€1.00
M21	Orleans · Away24 Jan 2020	24 Jan 2020	L 0-2	2.20	1.57	0	−1.57	−4.06	−€1.00
M22	Auxerre · Home31 Jan 2020	31 Jan 2020	W 1-0	2.17	1.60	3	+1.40	−2.66	+€1.17
M23	Valenciennes · Away4 Feb 2020	4 Feb 2020	D 0-0	2.58	1.40	1	−0.40	−3.06	−€1.00
M24	Lorient · Home8 Feb 2020	8 Feb 2020	W 2-1	3.12	1.21	3	+1.79	−1.27	+€2.12
M25	Nancy · Away15 Feb 2020	15 Feb 2020	W 1-0	2.90	1.30	3	+1.70	+0.42	+€1.90
M26	Sochaux · Home21 Feb 2020	21 Feb 2020	D 1-1	1.89	1.78	1	−0.78	−0.36	−€1.00
M27	Le Mans · Away28 Feb 2020	28 Feb 2020	L 1-2	2.09	1.64	0	−1.64	−2.00	−€1.00
M28	Rodez · Away6 Mar 2020	6 Mar 2020	L 1-2	2.51	1.43	0	−1.43	−3.43	−€1.00
Total					42.43	39	−3.43		−€2.82