← Ligue 2 2019-20

Le Havre

Season 2019-20 · 28 matches played

Last 5DLLWW

Points

Points expected by the market

43.77

Gap

+0.23

Yield

−2.9%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds band	Matches playedMP	PointsPts	Expected	Gap	Yield
Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches	1	1	2.14	−1.14	−100.0%
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	11	21	19.92	+1.08	+5.8%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	14	16	19.73	−3.73	−47.1%
Underdog 3.50 or more few matches	2	6	1.98	+4.02	+307.5%
Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches	1	1	2.14	−1.14	−100.0%
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	8	14	14.97	−0.97	−5.8%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	5	7	7.30	−0.30	−49.4%
Underdog 3.50 or more	0	—	—	—	—
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches	3	7	4.95	+2.05	+36.7%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	9	9	12.43	−3.43	−45.8%
Underdog 3.50 or more few matches	2	6	1.98	+4.02	+307.5%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

M	Opponent	Date	ResultRes.	Odds to win	Expected	PointsPts	Gap	Running total	€1 bet
M1	Ajaccio · Away26 Jul 2019	26 Jul 2019	D 2-2	2.65	1.39	1	−0.39	−0.39	−€1.00
M2	Niort · Home2 Aug 2019	2 Aug 2019	D 1-1	1.71	1.92	1	−0.92	−1.30	−€1.00
M3	Troyes · Away9 Aug 2019	9 Aug 2019	W 2-1	3.70	1.06	3	+1.94	+0.64	+€2.70
M4	Lens · Away17 Aug 2019	17 Aug 2019	W 3-1	4.45	0.92	3	+2.08	+2.72	+€3.45
M5	Grenoble · Home23 Aug 2019	23 Aug 2019	W 3-1	1.76	1.88	3	+1.12	+3.84	+€0.76
M6	Caen · Away30 Aug 2019	30 Aug 2019	W 3-0	2.60	1.41	3	+1.59	+5.43	+€1.60
M7	Paris FC · Home13 Sep 2019	13 Sep 2019	D 0-0	1.68	1.95	1	−0.95	+4.48	−€1.00
M8	Orleans · Away20 Sep 2019	20 Sep 2019	D 2-2	2.40	1.46	1	−0.46	+4.01	−€1.00
M9	Chateauroux · Home27 Sep 2019	27 Sep 2019	L 0-1	1.60	2.00	0	−2.00	+2.01	−€1.00
M10	Auxerre · Away5 Oct 2019	5 Oct 2019	L 0-2	3.10	1.22	0	−1.22	+0.79	−€1.00
M11	Lorient · Home19 Oct 2019	19 Oct 2019	D 2-2	2.40	1.48	1	−0.48	+0.31	−€1.00
M12	Valenciennes · Away28 Oct 2019	28 Oct 2019	D 0-0	2.10	1.63	1	−0.63	−0.31	−€1.00
M13	Nancy · Home4 Nov 2019	4 Nov 2019	D 1-1	2.46	1.46	1	−0.46	−0.77	−€1.00
M14	Sochaux · Away8 Nov 2019	8 Nov 2019	L 0-2	2.84	1.33	0	−1.33	−2.11	−€1.00
M15	Guingamp · Home25 Nov 2019	25 Nov 2019	W 4-0	2.53	1.41	3	+1.59	−0.52	+€1.53
M16	Rodez · Away29 Nov 2019	29 Nov 2019	W 2-1	2.28	1.54	3	+1.46	+0.94	+€1.28
M17	Le Mans · Home3 Dec 2019	3 Dec 2019	W 2-0	1.58	2.02	3	+0.98	+1.92	+€0.58
M18	Clermont · Away13 Dec 2019	13 Dec 2019	L 1-2	3.01	1.25	0	−1.25	+0.67	−€1.00
M19	Chambly · Home20 Dec 2019	20 Dec 2019	D 1-1	1.47	2.14	1	−1.14	−0.47	−€1.00
M20	Niort · Away10 Jan 2020	10 Jan 2020	W 1-0	2.08	1.64	3	+1.36	+0.89	+€1.08
M21	Troyes · Home27 Jan 2020	27 Jan 2020	W 1-0	2.05	1.67	3	+1.33	+2.23	+€1.05
M22	Lens · Home31 Jan 2020	31 Jan 2020	D 0-0	2.71	1.35	1	−0.35	+1.88	−€1.00
M23	Grenoble · Away3 Feb 2020	3 Feb 2020	D 1-1	2.78	1.35	1	−0.35	+1.53	−€1.00
M24	Caen · Home7 Feb 2020	7 Feb 2020	D 1-1	2.21	1.59	1	−0.59	+0.94	−€1.00
M25	Paris FC · Away14 Feb 2020	14 Feb 2020	L 0-1	2.41	1.49	0	−1.49	−0.55	−€1.00
M26	Orleans · Home21 Feb 2020	21 Feb 2020	L 1-2	1.71	1.91	0	−1.91	−2.47	−€1.00
M27	Chateauroux · Away28 Feb 2020	28 Feb 2020	W 3-0	2.02	1.69	3	+1.31	−1.15	+€1.02
M28	Auxerre · Home6 Mar 2020	6 Mar 2020	W 1-0	2.15	1.62	3	+1.38	+0.23	+€1.15
Total					43.77	44	+0.23		−€0.80