← Ligue 2 2019-20

Le Mans

Season 2019-20 · 28 matches played

Last 5LDLWD

Points

Points expected by the market

31.38

Gap

−5.38

Yield

−19.7%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds band	Matches playedMP	PointsPts	Expected	Gap	Yield
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches	3	3	4.83	−1.83	−27.7%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	11	16	14.43	+1.57	−0.8%
Underdog 3.50 or more	14	7	12.12	−5.12	−32.8%
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches	3	3	4.83	−1.83	−27.7%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	9	12	12.05	−0.05	−12.8%
Underdog 3.50 or more few matches	2	3	2.07	+0.93	+83.0%
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	0	—	—	—	—
Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches	2	4	2.38	+1.62	+53.0%
Underdog 3.50 or more	12	4	10.05	−6.05	−52.1%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

M	Opponent	Date	ResultRes.	Odds to win	Expected	PointsPts	Gap	Running total	€1 bet
M1	Lens · Home27 Jul 2019	27 Jul 2019	L 1-2	3.48	1.10	0	−1.10	−1.10	−€1.00
M2	Auxerre · Away2 Aug 2019	2 Aug 2019	L 0-2	5.00	0.83	0	−0.83	−1.93	−€1.00
M3	Valenciennes · Home9 Aug 2019	9 Aug 2019	L 1-2	2.14	1.60	0	−1.60	−3.53	−€1.00
M4	Nancy · Away16 Aug 2019	16 Aug 2019	L 1-2	4.31	0.94	0	−0.94	−4.47	−€1.00
M5	Lorient · Home23 Aug 2019	23 Aug 2019	L 1-2	3.91	1.00	0	−1.00	−5.47	−€1.00
M6	Sochaux · Home30 Aug 2019	30 Aug 2019	W 2-0	2.73	1.36	3	+1.64	−3.83	+€1.73
M7	Rodez · Away13 Sep 2019	13 Sep 2019	L 1-4	3.84	1.02	0	−1.02	−4.85	−€1.00
M8	Ajaccio · Home20 Sep 2019	20 Sep 2019	L 2-4	2.37	1.49	0	−1.49	−6.34	−€1.00
M9	Guingamp · Away30 Sep 2019	30 Sep 2019	L 0-3	4.55	0.88	0	−0.88	−7.22	−€1.00
M10	Chambly · Home4 Oct 2019	4 Oct 2019	W 1-0	2.57	1.41	3	+1.59	−5.63	+€1.57
M11	Troyes · Away18 Oct 2019	18 Oct 2019	L 1-2	5.85	0.72	0	−0.72	−6.36	−€1.00
M12	Niort · Home25 Oct 2019	25 Oct 2019	W 1-0	2.17	1.58	3	+1.42	−4.94	+€1.17
M13	Clermont · Away2 Nov 2019	2 Nov 2019	W 1-0	5.75	0.75	3	+2.25	−2.69	+€4.75
M14	Grenoble · Home8 Nov 2019	8 Nov 2019	D 0-0	2.68	1.36	1	−0.36	−3.06	−€1.00
M15	Caen · Away22 Nov 2019	22 Nov 2019	D 3-3	4.04	1.00	1	0.00	−3.06	−€1.00
M16	Chateauroux · Home29 Nov 2019	29 Nov 2019	L 1-2	2.08	1.65	0	−1.65	−4.71	−€1.00
M17	Le Havre · Away3 Dec 2019	3 Dec 2019	L 0-2	5.74	0.73	0	−0.73	−5.44	−€1.00
M18	Orleans · Home13 Dec 2019	13 Dec 2019	W 3-2	2.55	1.39	3	+1.61	−3.83	+€1.55
M19	Paris FC · Away21 Dec 2019	21 Dec 2019	W 3-0	3.06	1.23	3	+1.77	−2.06	+€2.06
M20	Auxerre · Home10 Jan 2020	10 Jan 2020	L 0-1	3.00	1.23	0	−1.23	−3.30	−€1.00
M21	Valenciennes · Away24 Jan 2020	24 Jan 2020	L 0-1	3.95	0.99	0	−0.99	−4.28	−€1.00
M22	Nancy · Home31 Jan 2020	31 Jan 2020	D 1-1	2.81	1.31	1	−0.31	−4.59	−€1.00
M23	Lorient · Away4 Feb 2020	4 Feb 2020	L 2-4	8.11	0.56	0	−0.56	−5.15	−€1.00
M24	Sochaux · Away7 Feb 2020	7 Feb 2020	L 0-1	4.57	0.91	0	−0.91	−6.06	−€1.00
M25	Rodez · Home14 Feb 2020	14 Feb 2020	D 0-0	2.58	1.41	1	−0.41	−6.46	−€1.00
M26	Ajaccio · Away21 Feb 2020	21 Feb 2020	L 0-2	6.24	0.71	0	−0.71	−7.17	−€1.00
M27	Guingamp · Home28 Feb 2020	28 Feb 2020	W 2-1	3.66	1.06	3	+1.94	−5.24	+€2.66
M28	Chambly · Away6 Mar 2020	6 Mar 2020	D 2-2	3.37	1.14	1	−0.14	−5.38	−€1.00
Total					31.38	26	−5.38		−€5.51