← Ligue 2 2019-20

Paris FC

Season 2019-20 · 28 matches played

Last 5WWWLD

Points

Points expected by the market

32.55

Gap

−4.55

Yield

−14.2%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds band	Matches playedMP	PointsPts	Expected	Gap	Yield
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches	1	0	1.74	−1.74	−100.0%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	17	21	21.92	−0.92	+10.9%
Underdog 3.50 or more	10	7	8.89	−1.89	−48.4%
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches	1	0	1.74	−1.74	−100.0%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	11	11	14.53	−3.53	−11.3%
Underdog 3.50 or more few matches	1	0	1.04	−1.04	−100.0%
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	0	—	—	—	—
Even 2.20 – 3.49	6	10	7.39	+2.61	+51.7%
Underdog 3.50 or more	9	7	7.84	−0.84	−42.7%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

M	Opponent	Date	ResultRes.	Odds to win	Expected	PointsPts	Gap	Running total	€1 bet
M1	Lorient · Away29 Jul 2019	29 Jul 2019	L 0-3	4.39	0.94	0	−0.94	−0.94	−€1.00
M2	Sochaux · Home2 Aug 2019	2 Aug 2019	D 1-1	2.22	1.61	1	−0.61	−1.55	−€1.00
M3	Rodez · Away9 Aug 2019	9 Aug 2019	L 1-2	3.29	1.20	0	−1.20	−2.75	−€1.00
M4	Niort · Home16 Aug 2019	16 Aug 2019	L 0-1	1.97	1.74	0	−1.74	−4.49	−€1.00
M5	Ajaccio · Away23 Aug 2019	23 Aug 2019	L 0-1	3.73	1.09	0	−1.09	−5.59	−€1.00
M6	Chambly · Home2 Sep 2019	2 Sep 2019	L 0-3	2.62	1.42	0	−1.42	−7.01	−€1.00
M7	Le Havre · Away13 Sep 2019	13 Sep 2019	D 0-0	5.75	0.77	1	+0.23	−6.78	−€1.00
M8	Clermont · Home20 Sep 2019	20 Sep 2019	L 0-2	3.29	1.19	0	−1.19	−7.97	−€1.00
M9	Lens · Away28 Sep 2019	28 Sep 2019	L 1-2	5.92	0.75	0	−0.75	−8.72	−€1.00
M10	Troyes · Home4 Oct 2019	4 Oct 2019	W 1-0	3.23	1.19	3	+1.81	−6.91	+€2.23
M11	Chateauroux · Away18 Oct 2019	18 Oct 2019	W 1-0	3.17	1.22	3	+1.78	−5.13	+€2.17
M12	Caen · Home25 Oct 2019	25 Oct 2019	L 2-4	2.33	1.54	0	−1.54	−6.68	−€1.00
M13	Grenoble · Away2 Nov 2019	2 Nov 2019	D 0-0	4.27	0.98	1	+0.02	−6.65	−€1.00
M14	Orleans · Away8 Nov 2019	8 Nov 2019	W 1-0	3.49	1.13	3	+1.87	−4.78	+€2.49
M15	Auxerre · Home22 Nov 2019	22 Nov 2019	W 2-0	3.24	1.20	3	+1.80	−2.98	+€2.24
M16	Nancy · Away29 Nov 2019	29 Nov 2019	L 0-2	5.35	0.82	0	−0.82	−3.80	−€1.00
M17	Guingamp · Home3 Dec 2019	3 Dec 2019	L 0-3	3.11	1.22	0	−1.22	−5.02	−€1.00
M18	Valenciennes · Away13 Dec 2019	13 Dec 2019	L 0-1	3.45	1.14	0	−1.14	−6.16	−€1.00
M19	Le Mans · Home21 Dec 2019	21 Dec 2019	L 0-3	2.48	1.45	0	−1.45	−7.61	−€1.00
M20	Sochaux · Away10 Jan 2020	10 Jan 2020	D 1-1	4.90	0.88	1	+0.12	−7.48	−€1.00
M21	Rodez · Home24 Jan 2020	24 Jan 2020	D 0-0	2.62	1.40	1	−0.40	−7.89	−€1.00
M22	Niort · Away31 Jan 2020	31 Jan 2020	D 4-4	3.15	1.22	1	−0.22	−8.11	−€1.00
M23	Ajaccio · Home4 Feb 2020	4 Feb 2020	L 2-3	3.49	1.13	0	−1.13	−9.23	−€1.00
M24	Chambly · Away7 Feb 2020	7 Feb 2020	W 2-1	2.44	1.48	3	+1.52	−7.71	+€1.44
M25	Le Havre · Home14 Feb 2020	14 Feb 2020	W 1-0	3.29	1.18	3	+1.82	−5.89	+€2.29
M26	Clermont · Away21 Feb 2020	21 Feb 2020	W 1-0	5.16	0.83	3	+2.17	−3.72	+€4.16
M27	Lens · Home2 Mar 2020	2 Mar 2020	L 0-2	3.85	1.04	0	−1.04	−4.76	−€1.00
M28	Troyes · Away6 Mar 2020	6 Mar 2020	D 1-1	5.48	0.79	1	+0.21	−4.55	−€1.00
Total					32.55	28	−4.55		−€3.98