Points
42Points expected by the market
37.44Gap
+4.56Yield
+25.1%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 7 | +1.94 | +41.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 22 | +4.87 | +23.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 18 | 13 | −2.25 | +23.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 7 | +1.94 | +41.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 20 | +6.67 | +60.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 3 | −0.75 | +23.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 2 | −1.80 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 14 | 10 | −1.50 | +23.6% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Rodez · Home16 Aug 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.67 | +1.67 |
| M2 | Red Star · Away26 Aug 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.90 | +0.77 |
| M3 | Troyes · Home30 Aug 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.34 | +2.11 |
| M4 | Laval · Away13 Sep 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.20 | +1.91 |
| M5 | Caen · Away20 Sep 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.06 | +0.85 |
| M6 | Grenoble · Home24 Sep 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.64 | +2.49 |
| M7 | Lorient · Away27 Sep 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.65 | +1.84 |
| M8 | Martigues · Home5 Oct 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.77 | +1.07 |
| M9 | Amiens · Away19 Oct 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.90 | +0.17 |
| M10 | Guingamp · Away29 Oct 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.80 | −0.63 |
| M11 | Metz · Home4 Nov 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.97 | −1.60 |
| M12 | Clermont · Home8 Nov 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.74 | +0.13 |
| M13 | Dunkerque · Away25 Nov 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.90 | −0.77 |
| M14 | Bastia · Home3 Dec 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.16 | −0.93 |
| M15 | Paris FC · Home7 Dec 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.96 | −1.89 |
| M16 | Pau FC · Away13 Dec 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.71 | −2.60 |
| M17 | Annecy · Home3 Jan 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.30 | −3.90 |
| M18 | Bastia · Away11 Jan 2025 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.76 | −4.65 |
| M19 | Caen · Home17 Jan 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.53 | −3.13 |
| M20 | Rodez · Away24 Jan 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.11 | −1.01 |
| M21 | Clermont · Away31 Jan 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.12 | +1.11 |
| M22 | Guingamp · Home8 Feb 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.16 | −0.05 |
| M23 | Laval · Home14 Feb 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.58 | +1.53 |
| M24 | Metz · Away22 Feb 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.42 | +3.95 |
| M25 | Dunkerque · Home3 Mar 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.01 | +2.94 |
| M26 | Grenoble · Away7 Mar 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.14 | +2.81 |
| M27 | Red Star · Home14 Mar 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.59 | +4.40 |
| M28 | Martigues · Away28 Mar 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.47 | +2.93 |
| M29 | Amiens · Home4 Apr 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.37 | +4.30 |
| M30 | Troyes · Away11 Apr 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.12 | +4.42 |
| M31 | Pau FC · Home18 Apr 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.45 | +3.97 |
| M32 | Annecy · Away25 Apr 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.06 | +2.91 |
| M33 | Lorient · Home2 May 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.18 | +5.09 |
| M34 | Paris FC · Away10 May 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.53 | +4.56 |
| Total | 42 | +4.56 | |||