Points
43Points expected by the market
39.54Gap
+3.46Yield
+17.3%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 1 | −1.18 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 6 | −0.73 | −0.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 25 | +7.08 | +62.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 15 | 11 | −1.71 | −12.7% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 1 | −1.18 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 6 | +0.96 | +32.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 19 | +7.00 | +82.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 9 | +5.55 | +227.3% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.69 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 6 | +0.08 | +27.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 11 | 2 | −7.25 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Red Star · Home16 Aug 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.55 | +1.55 |
| M2 | Bastia · Away23 Aug 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.16 | +0.38 |
| M3 | Lorient · Home31 Aug 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.12 | +2.50 |
| M4 | Annecy · Away13 Sep 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.16 | +1.34 |
| M5 | Clermont · Home20 Sep 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.57 | +2.91 |
| M6 | Caen · Away24 Sep 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.03 | +1.88 |
| M7 | Rodez · Home27 Sep 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.54 | +3.43 |
| M8 | Metz · Away5 Oct 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.82 | +2.60 |
| M9 | Ajaccio · Home19 Oct 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.20 | +3.81 |
| M10 | Pau FC · Away25 Oct 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.75 | +5.56 |
| M11 | Paris FC · Home29 Oct 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.14 | +5.42 |
| M12 | Dunkerque · Away1 Nov 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.23 | +4.19 |
| M13 | Martigues · Home8 Nov 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.18 | +3.01 |
| M14 | Guingamp · Away22 Nov 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.03 | +1.97 |
| M15 | Grenoble · Away7 Dec 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.89 | +3.86 |
| M16 | Laval · Home13 Dec 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.62 | +2.25 |
| M17 | Troyes · Home3 Jan 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.30 | +0.95 |
| M18 | Paris FC · Away11 Jan 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.78 | +0.17 |
| M19 | Bastia · Home17 Jan 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.84 | +2.01 |
| M20 | Martigues · Away24 Jan 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.69 | +0.31 |
| M21 | Annecy · Home31 Jan 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.37 | +1.69 |
| M22 | Lorient · Away8 Feb 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.54 | +1.15 |
| M23 | Grenoble · Home14 Feb 2025 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.52 | −0.38 |
| M24 | Rodez · Away21 Feb 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.32 | −0.05 |
| M25 | Metz · Home1 Mar 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.72 | −0.78 |
| M26 | Red Star · Away7 Mar 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.92 | −1.69 |
| M27 | Caen · Home14 Mar 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.78 | +0.09 |
| M28 | Clermont · Away28 Mar 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | 0.00 | +0.09 |
| M29 | Ajaccio · Away4 Apr 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.06 | −0.97 |
| M30 | Dunkerque · Home11 Apr 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.04 | +1.07 |
| M31 | Guingamp · Home18 Apr 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +2.11 | +3.19 |
| M32 | Laval · Away25 Apr 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.74 | +2.45 |
| M33 | Pau FC · Home2 May 2025 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.68 | +4.13 |
| M34 | Troyes · Away10 May 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.67 | +3.46 |
| Total | 43 | +3.46 | |||