Points
51Points expected by the market
41.83Gap
+9.17Yield
+4.8%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 12 | +1.78 | +34.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 29 | +10.44 | +70.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 14 | 10 | −3.06 | −73.1% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 12 | +3.40 | +61.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 17 | +4.58 | +29.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 2 | −0.84 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.62 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 12 | +5.87 | +142.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 11 | 8 | −2.22 | −65.8% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Dunkerque · Away16 Aug 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.58 | +1.58 |
| M2 | Martigues · Home23 Aug 2024 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.89 | −0.31 |
| M3 | Caen · Away30 Aug 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.01 | −0.32 |
| M4 | Amiens · Home13 Sep 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.47 | +1.14 |
| M5 | Guingamp · Away20 Sep 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.10 | +1.24 |
| M6 | Troyes · Home24 Sep 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.15 | +2.39 |
| M7 | Bastia · Away27 Sep 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.03 | +2.36 |
| M8 | Red Star · Home4 Oct 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.40 | +3.76 |
| M9 | Lorient · Away19 Oct 2024 | L 2-4 | 0 | −0.66 | +3.10 |
| M10 | Laval · Home25 Oct 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.44 | +4.54 |
| M11 | Grenoble · Away29 Oct 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.02 | +4.56 |
| M12 | Pau FC · Home1 Nov 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.57 | +6.13 |
| M13 | Rodez · Away8 Nov 2024 | L 1-5 | 0 | −1.07 | +5.06 |
| M14 | Paris FC · Away23 Nov 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.25 | +5.31 |
| M15 | Clermont · Home6 Dec 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.49 | +6.80 |
| M16 | Metz · Home14 Dec 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.15 | +6.64 |
| M17 | Ajaccio · Away3 Jan 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.63 | +8.27 |
| M18 | Guingamp · Home10 Jan 2025 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.41 | +6.86 |
| M19 | Troyes · Away20 Jan 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.89 | +8.75 |
| M20 | Dunkerque · Home27 Jan 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.22 | +7.53 |
| M21 | Amiens · Away31 Jan 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.09 | +6.44 |
| M22 | Laval · Away7 Feb 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.90 | +8.34 |
| M23 | Caen · Home17 Feb 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.51 | +9.85 |
| M24 | Martigues · Away21 Feb 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.62 | +8.24 |
| M25 | Paris FC · Home28 Feb 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.02 | +7.21 |
| M26 | Metz · Away8 Mar 2025 | L 1-5 | 0 | −0.62 | +6.59 |
| M27 | Rodez · Home14 Mar 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.11 | +6.49 |
| M28 | Pau FC · Away28 Mar 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.07 | +5.42 |
| M29 | Bastia · Home4 Apr 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.11 | +5.31 |
| M30 | Red Star · Away11 Apr 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.97 | +7.27 |
| M31 | Lorient · Home21 Apr 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.29 | +7.57 |
| M32 | Ajaccio · Home25 Apr 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.36 | +8.93 |
| M33 | Clermont · Away2 May 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.13 | +7.79 |
| M34 | Grenoble · Home10 May 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.38 | +9.17 |
| Total | 51 | +9.17 | |||