← Ligue 2 2024-25

Bastia

Season 2024-25 · 34 matches played

Last 5WLLDW

Points

48

Points expected by the market

51.60

Gap

−3.60

Yield

−31.9%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.

M1M5M10M15M20M25M30

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds bandMatches playedMPPointsPtsExpectedGapYield
Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches 3 6 6.59 −0.59 −6.7%
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 9 15 15.83 −0.83 −42.6%
Even 2.20 – 3.49 19 26 26.38 −0.38 −20.0%
Underdog 3.50 or more few matches 3 1 2.80 −1.80 −100.0%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

MOpponentDateResultRes. Odds to winExpectedPointsPtsGap Running total€1 bet
M1 Metz · Away19 Aug 2024 19 Aug 2024 D 1-1 3.40 1.13 1 −0.13 −0.13 −€1.00
M2 Amiens · Home23 Aug 2024 23 Aug 2024 W 1-0 2.36 1.51 3 +1.49 +1.36 +€1.36
M3 Martigues · Away30 Aug 2024 30 Aug 2024 W 1-0 2.22 1.58 3 +1.42 +2.78 +€1.22
M4 Troyes · Home13 Sep 2024 13 Sep 2024 D 0-0 1.78 1.85 1 −0.85 +1.93 −€1.00
M5 Paris FC · Home20 Sep 2024 20 Sep 2024 W 2-1 2.99 1.25 3 +1.75 +3.68 +€1.99
M6 Dunkerque · Away24 Sep 2024 24 Sep 2024 L 1-2 2.52 1.43 0 −1.43 +2.25 −€1.00
M7 Annecy · Home27 Sep 2024 27 Sep 2024 D 2-2 2.07 1.66 1 −0.66 +1.59 −€1.00
M8 Clermont · Home18 Oct 2024 18 Oct 2024 D 0-0 2.08 1.66 1 −0.66 +0.93 −€1.00
M9 Pau FC · Away22 Oct 2024 22 Oct 2024 D 1-1 3.45 1.12 1 −0.12 +0.81 −€1.00
M10 Rodez · Home29 Oct 2024 29 Oct 2024 D 2-2 2.17 1.59 1 −0.59 +0.22 −€1.00
M11 Caen · Away2 Nov 2024 2 Nov 2024 L 0-2 3.31 1.15 0 −1.15 −0.92 −€1.00
M12 Laval · Away8 Nov 2024 8 Nov 2024 D 2-2 2.29 1.54 1 −0.54 −1.47 −€1.00
M13 Lorient · Home23 Nov 2024 23 Nov 2024 D 0-0 3.11 1.18 1 −0.18 −1.65 −€1.00
M14 Ajaccio · Away3 Dec 2024 3 Dec 2024 D 0-0 2.41 1.50 1 −0.50 −2.15 −€1.00
M15 Red Star · Away6 Dec 2024 6 Dec 2024 D 0-0 2.12 1.62 1 −0.62 −2.77 −€1.00
M16 Guingamp · Home13 Dec 2024 13 Dec 2024 W 3-1 2.53 1.43 3 +1.57 −1.20 +€1.53
M17 Grenoble · Away3 Jan 2025 3 Jan 2025 L 2-3 2.21 1.58 0 −1.58 −2.78 −€1.00
M18 Ajaccio · Home11 Jan 2025 11 Jan 2025 W 4-0 1.64 1.97 3 +1.03 −1.75 +€0.64
M19 Amiens · Away17 Jan 2025 17 Jan 2025 L 0-1 2.29 1.53 0 −1.53 −3.29 −€1.00
M20 Pau FC · Home24 Jan 2025 24 Jan 2025 D 1-1 1.92 1.74 1 −0.74 −4.03 −€1.00
M21 Metz · Home31 Jan 2025 31 Jan 2025 D 1-1 3.16 1.19 1 −0.19 −4.22 −€1.00
M22 Rodez · Away7 Feb 2025 7 Feb 2025 W 2-0 2.89 1.26 3 +1.74 −2.48 +€1.89
M23 Clermont · Away14 Feb 2025 14 Feb 2025 D 1-1 2.50 1.44 1 −0.44 −2.92 −€1.00
M24 Red Star · Home21 Feb 2025 21 Feb 2025 W 1-0 1.89 1.78 3 +1.22 −1.70 +€0.89
M25 Troyes · Away28 Feb 2025 28 Feb 2025 L 0-2 2.70 1.38 0 −1.38 −3.08 −€1.00
M26 Martigues · Home7 Mar 2025 7 Mar 2025 W 1-0 1.38 2.25 3 +0.75 −2.33 +€0.38
M27 Lorient · Away15 Mar 2025 15 Mar 2025 L 0-4 4.78 0.86 0 −0.86 −3.19 −€1.00
M28 Dunkerque · Home28 Mar 2025 28 Mar 2025 W 2-0 2.21 1.58 3 +1.42 −1.77 +€1.21
M29 Annecy · Away4 Apr 2025 4 Apr 2025 D 1-1 2.20 1.59 1 −0.59 −2.35 −€1.00
M30 Laval · Home14 Apr 2025 14 Apr 2025 W 5-2 1.64 1.96 3 +1.04 −1.32 +€0.64
M31 Paris FC · Away19 Apr 2025 19 Apr 2025 L 0-1 3.64 1.06 0 −1.06 −2.37 −€1.00
M32 Grenoble · Home25 Apr 2025 25 Apr 2025 L 2-3 1.43 2.18 0 −2.18 −4.55 −€1.00
M33 Guingamp · Away2 May 2025 2 May 2025 D 2-2 4.64 0.88 1 +0.12 −4.43 −€1.00
M34 Caen · Home10 May 2025 10 May 2025 W 2-1 1.42 2.17 3 +0.83 −3.60 +€0.42
Total 51.60 48 −3.60 −€10.83