Points
56Points expected by the market
47.44Gap
+8.56Yield
+24.2%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 0 | −2.12 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 19 | +4.82 | +43.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 21 | 34 | +6.20 | +27.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 3 | −0.34 | +2.2% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 0 | −2.12 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 16 | +5.26 | +56.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 21 | +7.87 | +89.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 3 | −0.44 | +4.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 13 | −1.67 | −30.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 3 | −0.34 | +2.2% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Annecy · Home16 Aug 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.28 | −1.28 |
| M2 | Paris FC · Away23 Aug 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.85 | −2.13 |
| M3 | Rodez · Home30 Aug 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.62 | −0.51 |
| M4 | Clermont · Away13 Sep 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.03 | +1.52 |
| M5 | Pau FC · Home20 Sep 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.72 | +3.24 |
| M6 | Bastia · Home24 Sep 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.75 | +4.99 |
| M7 | Martigues · Away27 Sep 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.51 | +4.48 |
| M8 | Troyes · Home4 Oct 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.41 | +5.89 |
| M9 | Laval · Away18 Oct 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.11 | +4.78 |
| M10 | Red Star · Home25 Oct 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.53 | +6.31 |
| M11 | Lorient · Away29 Oct 2024 | L 2-4 | 0 | −0.59 | +5.72 |
| M12 | Amiens · Home1 Nov 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.53 | +7.25 |
| M13 | Grenoble · Away8 Nov 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.65 | +8.91 |
| M14 | Ajaccio · Home25 Nov 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.20 | +10.11 |
| M15 | Metz · Away9 Dec 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.93 | +9.18 |
| M16 | Caen · Home16 Dec 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.35 | +10.52 |
| M17 | Guingamp · Away4 Jan 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.15 | +10.37 |
| M18 | Pau FC · Away10 Jan 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.34 | +10.03 |
| M19 | Lorient · Home18 Jan 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.30 | +8.73 |
| M20 | Annecy · Away27 Jan 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.53 | +10.26 |
| M21 | Martigues · Home31 Jan 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −2.12 | +8.14 |
| M22 | Caen · Away10 Feb 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.61 | +9.75 |
| M23 | Paris FC · Home15 Feb 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.74 | +11.50 |
| M24 | Clermont · Home21 Feb 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.14 | +12.64 |
| M25 | Ajaccio · Away3 Mar 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.33 | +13.97 |
| M26 | Rodez · Away10 Mar 2025 | L 1-5 | 0 | −1.46 | +12.52 |
| M27 | Metz · Home15 Mar 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.15 | +11.37 |
| M28 | Bastia · Away28 Mar 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.12 | +10.25 |
| M29 | Guingamp · Home7 Apr 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.70 | +11.95 |
| M30 | Amiens · Away11 Apr 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.77 | +10.18 |
| M31 | Grenoble · Home18 Apr 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.96 | +11.15 |
| M32 | Troyes · Away25 Apr 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.35 | +9.79 |
| M33 | Laval · Home2 May 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.81 | +8.98 |
| M34 | Red Star · Away10 May 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.43 | +8.56 |
| Total | 56 | +8.56 | |||