Points
46Points expected by the market
40.69Gap
+5.31Yield
+24.8%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.75 | +37.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 1 | −2.34 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 19 | 27 | +2.20 | +3.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 12 | 15 | +4.71 | +78.1% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.75 | +37.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 1 | −2.34 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 19 | +5.24 | +39.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 6 | +2.17 | +83.3% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 8 | −3.04 | −35.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 9 | +2.54 | +75.5% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Laval · Home16 Aug 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.48 | +1.48 |
| M2 | Lorient · Away24 Aug 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.67 | +0.81 |
| M3 | Pau FC · Home30 Aug 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.51 | +0.29 |
| M4 | Caen · Home16 Sep 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.75 | +2.04 |
| M5 | Martigues · Away20 Sep 2024 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.50 | +3.54 |
| M6 | Ajaccio · Away24 Sep 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.31 | +2.23 |
| M7 | Clermont · Home27 Sep 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.50 | +3.74 |
| M8 | Rodez · Away4 Oct 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.27 | +2.47 |
| M9 | Metz · Home18 Oct 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.97 | +4.44 |
| M10 | Paris FC · Away26 Oct 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.72 | +3.72 |
| M11 | Annecy · Home29 Oct 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.74 | +2.98 |
| M12 | Guingamp · Away2 Nov 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.85 | +2.13 |
| M13 | Dunkerque · Home8 Nov 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.36 | +0.78 |
| M14 | Troyes · Away22 Nov 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.12 | +0.66 |
| M15 | Amiens · Home7 Dec 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.60 | −0.94 |
| M16 | Red Star · Away14 Dec 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.33 | −2.27 |
| M17 | Bastia · Home3 Jan 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.90 | −0.38 |
| M18 | Caen · Away11 Jan 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.92 | +1.55 |
| M19 | Martigues · Home17 Jan 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.75 | +2.30 |
| M20 | Metz · Away24 Jan 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.71 | +1.59 |
| M21 | Rodez · Home31 Jan 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.81 | +3.41 |
| M22 | Red Star · Home7 Feb 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.50 | +2.91 |
| M23 | Amiens · Away14 Feb 2025 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.84 | +4.75 |
| M24 | Guingamp · Home21 Feb 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.22 | +4.53 |
| M25 | Pau FC · Away28 Feb 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.11 | +3.43 |
| M26 | Ajaccio · Home7 Mar 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.55 | +2.87 |
| M27 | Clermont · Away14 Mar 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.15 | +2.72 |
| M28 | Lorient · Home29 Mar 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.76 | +1.96 |
| M29 | Laval · Away4 Apr 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.91 | +3.87 |
| M30 | Paris FC · Home12 Apr 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.94 | +2.93 |
| M31 | Dunkerque · Away18 Apr 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.73 | +2.19 |
| M32 | Bastia · Away25 Apr 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +2.39 | +4.58 |
| M33 | Troyes · Home2 May 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.84 | +6.42 |
| M34 | Annecy · Away10 May 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.10 | +5.31 |
| Total | 46 | +5.31 | |||