Points
50Points expected by the market
42.25Gap
+7.75Yield
+37.1%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 10 | −3.84 | −27.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 21 | +3.14 | +18.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 12 | 19 | +8.45 | +102.4% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 7 | −5.19 | −46.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 14 | +3.25 | +30.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 6 | +4.16 | +331.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.34 | +105.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 7 | −0.11 | +1.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 10 | 13 | +4.29 | +56.7% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Grenoble · Away16 Aug 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.17 | −1.17 |
| M2 | Guingamp · Home23 Aug 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.17 | −2.34 |
| M3 | Metz · Away31 Aug 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.22 | −2.12 |
| M4 | Ajaccio · Home13 Sep 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.47 | −2.59 |
| M5 | Red Star · Away20 Sep 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.71 | −0.88 |
| M6 | Rodez · Away24 Sep 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.84 | +0.96 |
| M7 | Pau FC · Home27 Sep 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.55 | +2.51 |
| M8 | Paris FC · Away4 Oct 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.81 | +1.70 |
| M9 | Dunkerque · Home18 Oct 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.41 | +3.11 |
| M10 | Annecy · Away25 Oct 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.13 | +1.97 |
| M11 | Clermont · Home29 Oct 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.45 | +0.52 |
| M12 | Troyes · Away1 Nov 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.02 | +0.50 |
| M13 | Bastia · Home8 Nov 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.15 | +0.36 |
| M14 | Martigues · Away22 Nov 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.34 | +1.70 |
| M15 | Caen · Home6 Dec 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.51 | +3.21 |
| M16 | Amiens · Away13 Dec 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.92 | +5.13 |
| M17 | Lorient · Home4 Jan 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.09 | +7.23 |
| M18 | Red Star · Home10 Jan 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.59 | +6.63 |
| M19 | Clermont · Away18 Jan 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.06 | +6.69 |
| M20 | Troyes · Home24 Jan 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.70 | +8.39 |
| M21 | Pau FC · Away31 Jan 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.11 | +8.27 |
| M22 | Annecy · Home7 Feb 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.61 | +6.66 |
| M23 | Ajaccio · Away14 Feb 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.24 | +5.42 |
| M24 | Lorient · Away22 Feb 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.45 | +7.87 |
| M25 | Martigues · Home28 Feb 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.97 | +5.90 |
| M26 | Caen · Away7 Mar 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.00 | +7.90 |
| M27 | Paris FC · Home15 Mar 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +2.07 | +9.96 |
| M28 | Guingamp · Away29 Mar 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.81 | +9.16 |
| M29 | Grenoble · Home4 Apr 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.61 | +7.55 |
| M30 | Bastia · Away14 Apr 2025 | L 2-5 | 0 | −0.79 | +6.76 |
| M31 | Rodez · Home18 Apr 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.73 | +8.49 |
| M32 | Amiens · Home25 Apr 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.98 | +9.47 |
| M33 | Dunkerque · Away2 May 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.07 | +9.54 |
| M34 | Metz · Home10 May 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.79 | +7.75 |
| Total | 50 | +7.75 | |||