Points
32Points expected by the market
28.45Gap
+3.55Yield
+45.5%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 8 | −0.03 | −6.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 27 | 24 | +3.58 | +59.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 8 | +1.10 | +9.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 11 | 4 | −5.96 | −65.6% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.13 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 16 | 20 | +9.55 | +144.6% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Lorient · Home19 Aug 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.87 | −0.87 |
| M2 | Annecy · Away23 Aug 2024 | W 4-2 | 3 | +2.15 | +1.29 |
| M3 | Bastia · Home30 Aug 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.11 | +0.17 |
| M4 | Pau FC · Away13 Sep 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.13 | −0.96 |
| M5 | Grenoble · Home20 Sep 2024 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.17 | −2.13 |
| M6 | Metz · Away24 Sep 2024 | L 0-6 | 0 | −0.52 | −2.65 |
| M7 | Dunkerque · Home27 Sep 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.18 | −2.82 |
| M8 | Ajaccio · Away5 Oct 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.07 | −2.75 |
| M9 | Rodez · Home18 Oct 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.85 | −3.61 |
| M10 | Clermont · Away25 Oct 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.14 | −1.46 |
| M11 | Caen · Home29 Oct 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.95 | −2.41 |
| M12 | Red Star · Home1 Nov 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.12 | −3.53 |
| M13 | Amiens · Away8 Nov 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.40 | −3.13 |
| M14 | Laval · Home22 Nov 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.06 | −4.19 |
| M15 | Guingamp · Home6 Dec 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.75 | −4.93 |
| M16 | Troyes · Away13 Dec 2024 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.61 | −5.54 |
| M17 | Paris FC · Away3 Jan 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.61 | −2.93 |
| M18 | Clermont · Home10 Jan 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.83 | −3.76 |
| M19 | Grenoble · Away17 Jan 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.56 | −4.32 |
| M20 | Amiens · Home24 Jan 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.98 | −2.34 |
| M21 | Dunkerque · Away31 Jan 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.35 | +0.01 |
| M22 | Troyes · Home7 Feb 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.03 | −1.02 |
| M23 | Red Star · Away14 Feb 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.84 | −1.85 |
| M24 | Annecy · Home21 Feb 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.91 | +0.05 |
| M25 | Laval · Away28 Feb 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.24 | +2.29 |
| M26 | Bastia · Away7 Mar 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.54 | +1.76 |
| M27 | Pau FC · Home14 Mar 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.12 | +1.64 |
| M28 | Ajaccio · Home28 Mar 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.77 | +3.42 |
| M29 | Rodez · Away4 Apr 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.56 | +2.86 |
| M30 | Metz · Home11 Apr 2025 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.62 | +2.23 |
| M31 | Caen · Away18 Apr 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +2.25 | +4.49 |
| M32 | Guingamp · Away25 Apr 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.57 | +3.92 |
| M33 | Paris FC · Home2 May 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.13 | +4.05 |
| M34 | Lorient · Away10 May 2025 | L 1-5 | 0 | −0.50 | +3.55 |
| Total | 32 | +3.55 | |||