Points
65Points expected by the market
59.62Gap
+5.38Yield
+6.4%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 5 | 10 | −0.97 | −15.2% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 17 | 31 | −0.98 | −9.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 20 | +5.35 | +28.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 4 | +1.98 | +88.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 4 | 7 | −1.81 | −30.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 24 | +4.73 | +18.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 5 | +0.50 | −23.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.84 | +44.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 7 | −5.71 | −49.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 15 | +4.85 | +50.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 4 | +1.98 | +88.5% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Bastia · Home19 Aug 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.57 | −0.57 |
| M2 | Rodez · Away23 Aug 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.56 | +0.99 |
| M3 | Laval · Home31 Aug 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.96 | +0.03 |
| M4 | Paris FC · Away14 Sep 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.85 | +1.88 |
| M5 | Lorient · Home21 Sep 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.40 | +1.48 |
| M6 | Martigues · Home24 Sep 2024 | W 6-0 | 3 | +0.72 | +2.20 |
| M7 | Troyes · Away28 Sep 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.80 | +0.40 |
| M8 | Amiens · Home5 Oct 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.09 | +1.49 |
| M9 | Grenoble · Away18 Oct 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.69 | −0.20 |
| M10 | Guingamp · Home25 Oct 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.24 | +1.05 |
| M11 | Red Star · Away29 Oct 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.67 | −0.62 |
| M12 | Ajaccio · Away4 Nov 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.26 | +0.64 |
| M13 | Caen · Home9 Nov 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.98 | +1.62 |
| M14 | Clermont · Away22 Nov 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.54 | +1.08 |
| M15 | Dunkerque · Home9 Dec 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.20 | +2.29 |
| M16 | Annecy · Away14 Dec 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.55 | +1.74 |
| M17 | Pau FC · Home4 Jan 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.80 | +0.93 |
| M18 | Lorient · Away11 Jan 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.04 | +0.90 |
| M19 | Paris FC · Home18 Jan 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.47 | +2.37 |
| M20 | Grenoble · Home24 Jan 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.95 | +3.32 |
| M21 | Bastia · Away31 Jan 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.50 | +2.82 |
| M22 | Clermont · Home8 Feb 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.96 | +3.78 |
| M23 | Guingamp · Away15 Feb 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.59 | +5.37 |
| M24 | Ajaccio · Home22 Feb 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −2.20 | +3.17 |
| M25 | Amiens · Away1 Mar 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.96 | +4.13 |
| M26 | Annecy · Home8 Mar 2025 | W 5-1 | 3 | +0.84 | +4.97 |
| M27 | Dunkerque · Away15 Mar 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.44 | +6.41 |
| M28 | Troyes · Home28 Mar 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.05 | +7.46 |
| M29 | Caen · Away5 Apr 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.87 | +6.59 |
| M30 | Martigues · Away11 Apr 2025 | W 4-1 | 3 | +0.84 | +7.43 |
| M31 | Red Star · Home19 Apr 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.16 | +6.26 |
| M32 | Pau FC · Away26 Apr 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.91 | +4.35 |
| M33 | Rodez · Home2 May 2025 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.99 | +3.36 |
| M34 | Laval · Away10 May 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +2.02 | +5.38 |
| Total | 65 | +5.38 | |||