Points
38Points expected by the market
41.63Gap
−3.63Yield
−24.8%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 12 | +3.20 | +50.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 16 | 13 | −8.02 | −66.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 13 | 13 | +1.19 | −2.8% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 9 | +1.79 | +34.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 10 | −2.39 | −39.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 4 | −0.10 | −10.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.41 | +115.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 3 | −5.63 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 9 | 9 | +1.29 | +0.6% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Amiens · Away16 Aug 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.23 | −1.23 |
| M2 | Ajaccio · Home26 Aug 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.20 | −0.03 |
| M3 | Guingamp · Away30 Aug 2024 | W 4-3 | 3 | +2.12 | +2.08 |
| M4 | Lorient · Away13 Sep 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.82 | +1.26 |
| M5 | Laval · Home20 Sep 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.41 | −0.15 |
| M6 | Clermont · Away24 Sep 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | 0.00 | −0.15 |
| M7 | Paris FC · Home28 Sep 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.05 | −1.20 |
| M8 | Annecy · Away4 Oct 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.12 | −2.32 |
| M9 | Caen · Home18 Oct 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.44 | −2.76 |
| M10 | Dunkerque · Away25 Oct 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.25 | −4.01 |
| M11 | Metz · Home29 Oct 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.94 | −2.07 |
| M12 | Martigues · Away1 Nov 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.41 | −0.67 |
| M13 | Troyes · Home8 Nov 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.47 | −2.13 |
| M14 | Pau FC · Away22 Nov 2024 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.96 | −3.09 |
| M15 | Bastia · Home6 Dec 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.09 | −3.18 |
| M16 | Grenoble · Home14 Dec 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.63 | −1.55 |
| M17 | Rodez · Away3 Jan 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.12 | +0.57 |
| M18 | Laval · Away10 Jan 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.12 | +0.45 |
| M19 | Pau FC · Home17 Jan 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.32 | −0.87 |
| M20 | Paris FC · Away25 Jan 2025 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.74 | −1.61 |
| M21 | Lorient · Home1 Feb 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.90 | −2.52 |
| M22 | Grenoble · Away7 Feb 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.21 | −2.72 |
| M23 | Martigues · Home14 Feb 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.09 | −1.64 |
| M24 | Bastia · Away21 Feb 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.93 | −2.57 |
| M25 | Guingamp · Home1 Mar 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.70 | −0.87 |
| M26 | Amiens · Home7 Mar 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.19 | +0.32 |
| M27 | Ajaccio · Away14 Mar 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.26 | −0.94 |
| M28 | Rodez · Home28 Mar 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.35 | −1.29 |
| M29 | Troyes · Away5 Apr 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.15 | −1.14 |
| M30 | Annecy · Home11 Apr 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.68 | −2.82 |
| M31 | Metz · Away19 Apr 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.37 | −2.45 |
| M32 | Clermont · Home25 Apr 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.46 | −2.91 |
| M33 | Caen · Away2 May 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.45 | −3.35 |
| M34 | Dunkerque · Home10 May 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.27 | −3.63 |
| Total | 38 | −3.63 | |||