Points
39Points expected by the market
47.72Gap
−8.72Yield
−38.6%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.75 | +36.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 10 | −4.28 | −53.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 21 | 23 | −4.79 | −25.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 3 | −0.39 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.75 | +36.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 6 | −4.78 | −66.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 13 | +0.86 | +12.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 1 | −0.01 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 4 | +0.50 | −13.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 10 | −5.65 | −52.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 2 | −0.38 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Ajaccio · Away16 Aug 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.36 | −1.36 |
| M2 | Metz · Home23 Aug 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.26 | −2.62 |
| M3 | Dunkerque · Away30 Aug 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.33 | −3.95 |
| M4 | Guingamp · Home13 Sep 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.11 | −5.05 |
| M5 | Troyes · Away20 Sep 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.72 | −3.33 |
| M6 | Laval · Home24 Sep 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.55 | −4.88 |
| M7 | Amiens · Away27 Sep 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.24 | −6.12 |
| M8 | Grenoble · Home4 Oct 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.55 | −4.57 |
| M9 | Martigues · Away18 Oct 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.12 | −3.45 |
| M10 | Lorient · Home25 Oct 2024 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.01 | −3.46 |
| M11 | Bastia · Away29 Oct 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.12 | −3.58 |
| M12 | Paris FC · Away1 Nov 2024 | D 3-3 | 1 | +0.17 | −3.41 |
| M13 | Annecy · Home8 Nov 2024 | W 5-1 | 3 | +1.34 | −2.07 |
| M14 | Caen · Away22 Nov 2024 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.26 | −2.32 |
| M15 | Pau FC · Home6 Dec 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.58 | −0.75 |
| M16 | Clermont · Away13 Dec 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.31 | −1.06 |
| M17 | Red Star · Home3 Jan 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.89 | −2.94 |
| M18 | Troyes · Home10 Jan 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.55 | −1.39 |
| M19 | Guingamp · Away17 Jan 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.13 | −2.52 |
| M20 | Ajaccio · Home24 Jan 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.84 | −4.36 |
| M21 | Grenoble · Away31 Jan 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.53 | −5.89 |
| M22 | Bastia · Home7 Feb 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.45 | −7.34 |
| M23 | Pau FC · Away14 Feb 2025 | W 5-0 | 3 | +1.72 | −5.62 |
| M24 | Amiens · Home21 Feb 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.10 | −6.71 |
| M25 | Lorient · Away1 Mar 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.76 | −7.48 |
| M26 | Dunkerque · Home10 Mar 2025 | W 5-1 | 3 | +1.73 | −5.74 |
| M27 | Annecy · Away14 Mar 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.61 | −6.36 |
| M28 | Red Star · Away28 Mar 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.37 | −6.72 |
| M29 | Martigues · Home4 Apr 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.75 | −5.98 |
| M30 | Caen · Home11 Apr 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.76 | −6.73 |
| M31 | Laval · Away18 Apr 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.46 | −8.19 |
| M32 | Paris FC · Home26 Apr 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.20 | −8.39 |
| M33 | Metz · Away2 May 2025 | D 3-3 | 1 | +0.22 | −8.18 |
| M34 | Clermont · Home10 May 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.54 | −8.72 |
| Total | 39 | −8.72 | |||