Points
24Points expected by the market
32.58Gap
−8.58Yield
−28.7%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 7 | −5.57 | −44.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 24 | 17 | −3.01 | −22.2% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 7 | −4.48 | −38.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 2 | −5.53 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.09 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 16 | 15 | +2.52 | +16.7% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Reims · Home11 Aug 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.25 | +0.25 |
| M2 | Red Star · Away15 Aug 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +2.05 | +2.31 |
| M3 | Annecy · Home22 Aug 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.34 | +0.97 |
| M4 | Montpellier · Away29 Aug 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.24 | +1.21 |
| M5 | Bastia · Home12 Sep 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.04 | +1.17 |
| M6 | Laval · Away19 Sep 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +2.07 | +3.24 |
| M7 | Saint-Étienne · Home23 Sep 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.83 | +2.41 |
| M8 | Dunkerque · Away27 Sep 2025 | L 2-6 | 0 | −0.89 | +1.52 |
| M9 | Boulogne · Home3 Oct 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.32 | +0.20 |
| M10 | Nancy · Away20 Oct 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.19 | +2.39 |
| M11 | Rodez · Home25 Oct 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.78 | +4.17 |
| M12 | Troyes · Away28 Oct 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.61 | +3.56 |
| M13 | Grenoble · Home1 Nov 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.26 | +2.30 |
| M14 | Clermont · Away7 Nov 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.03 | +1.28 |
| M15 | Guingamp · Home22 Nov 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.98 | +0.29 |
| M16 | Le Mans · Away5 Dec 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.52 | −0.23 |
| M17 | Pau FC · Away12 Dec 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.26 | +2.04 |
| M18 | Nancy · Home3 Jan 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.12 | +0.92 |
| M19 | Annecy · Away16 Jan 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.86 | +0.05 |
| M20 | Laval · Home23 Jan 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.37 | −0.32 |
| M21 | Grenoble · Away30 Jan 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.01 | −1.33 |
| M22 | Clermont · Home9 Feb 2026 | W 4-3 | 3 | +1.66 | +0.33 |
| M23 | Dunkerque · Home13 Feb 2026 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.02 | −0.69 |
| M24 | Reims · Away21 Feb 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.46 | −0.23 |
| M25 | Troyes · Home2 Mar 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.96 | −1.19 |
| M26 | Boulogne · Away6 Mar 2026 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.09 | −2.29 |
| M27 | Guingamp · Away13 Mar 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.72 | −3.00 |
| M28 | Le Mans · Home20 Mar 2026 | L 3-4 | 0 | −1.06 | −4.06 |
| M29 | Bastia · Away3 Apr 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.12 | −3.94 |
| M30 | Pau FC · Home10 Apr 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.45 | −5.39 |
| M31 | Rodez · Away17 Apr 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.86 | −6.25 |
| M32 | Montpellier · Home24 Apr 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.08 | −7.32 |
| M33 | Red Star · Home2 May 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.90 | −8.22 |
| M34 | Saint-Étienne · Away9 May 2026 | L 0-5 | 0 | −0.36 | −8.58 |
| Total | 24 | −8.58 | |||