Points
52Points expected by the market
44.19Gap
+7.81Yield
+18.4%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 14 | +3.48 | +23.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 19 | 31 | +5.61 | +31.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 9 | 7 | −1.28 | −13.3% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 11 | +2.17 | +9.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 12 | −1.93 | −25.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 4 | +2.00 | +100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.31 | +95.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 19 | +7.54 | +95.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 7 | 3 | −3.28 | −45.7% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Pau FC · Away9 Aug 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.24 | −1.24 |
| M2 | Dunkerque · Home16 Aug 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.25 | −1.48 |
| M3 | Amiens · Away22 Aug 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.63 | +0.15 |
| M4 | Red Star · Away29 Aug 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.92 | −0.77 |
| M5 | Reims · Home13 Sep 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.05 | −0.82 |
| M6 | Grenoble · Away19 Sep 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.79 | +0.97 |
| M7 | Nancy · Home23 Sep 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.40 | −0.42 |
| M8 | Troyes · Away26 Sep 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.69 | −1.12 |
| M9 | Laval · Home3 Oct 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.37 | −1.49 |
| M10 | Clermont · Away17 Oct 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.66 | +0.17 |
| M11 | Saint-Étienne · Home25 Oct 2025 | W 4-0 | 3 | +2.05 | +2.22 |
| M12 | Rodez · Away28 Oct 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.07 | +1.15 |
| M13 | Boulogne · Home31 Oct 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.70 | +0.45 |
| M14 | Montpellier · Away7 Nov 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.91 | −0.47 |
| M15 | Bastia · Home21 Nov 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.55 | +1.08 |
| M16 | Guingamp · Away5 Dec 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.88 | +2.96 |
| M17 | Le Mans · Home12 Dec 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.45 | +1.51 |
| M18 | Reims · Away3 Jan 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.81 | +0.70 |
| M19 | Amiens · Home16 Jan 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.14 | +1.84 |
| M20 | Clermont · Home23 Jan 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.29 | +3.13 |
| M21 | Dunkerque · Away31 Jan 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.97 | +5.10 |
| M22 | Grenoble · Home6 Feb 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.77 | +4.33 |
| M23 | Laval · Away13 Feb 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.45 | +3.87 |
| M24 | Red Star · Home20 Feb 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.54 | +5.41 |
| M25 | Bastia · Away27 Feb 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.80 | +7.21 |
| M26 | Le Mans · Away7 Mar 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.23 | +5.99 |
| M27 | Troyes · Home16 Mar 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.32 | +4.66 |
| M28 | Saint-Étienne · Away21 Mar 2026 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.84 | +3.82 |
| M29 | Guingamp · Home3 Apr 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.66 | +5.47 |
| M30 | Montpellier · Home10 Apr 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.37 | +5.10 |
| M31 | Nancy · Away17 Apr 2026 | W 5-1 | 3 | +1.69 | +6.79 |
| M32 | Pau FC · Home24 Apr 2026 | W 5-1 | 3 | +1.21 | +8.00 |
| M33 | Boulogne · Away2 May 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.31 | +9.31 |
| M34 | Rodez · Home9 May 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.51 | +7.81 |
| Total | 52 | +7.81 | |||