Points
28Points expected by the market
44.85Gap
−16.85Yield
−56.7%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 10 | −5.68 | −54.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 17 | 12 | −10.66 | −64.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 7 | 6 | −0.51 | −41.1% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 9 | −5.00 | −49.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 2 | −7.50 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 3 | +2.06 | +312.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 1 | −0.68 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 10 | −3.16 | −38.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 3 | −2.57 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Pau FC · Home15 Aug 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.92 | −0.92 |
| M2 | Le Mans · Away22 Aug 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.36 | −2.28 |
| M3 | Guingamp · Home30 Aug 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.84 | −4.11 |
| M4 | Amiens · Away12 Sep 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.68 | −4.79 |
| M5 | Boulogne · Away16 Sep 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.56 | −6.36 |
| M6 | Montpellier · Away20 Sep 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.02 | −7.38 |
| M7 | Rodez · Home23 Sep 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.73 | −9.11 |
| M8 | Grenoble · Away26 Sep 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.49 | −9.59 |
| M9 | Dunkerque · Home3 Oct 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.48 | −10.07 |
| M10 | Troyes · Away17 Oct 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.89 | −10.96 |
| M11 | Nancy · Away28 Oct 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.24 | −12.20 |
| M12 | Clermont · Home31 Oct 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.28 | −10.92 |
| M13 | Reims · Home7 Nov 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.20 | −12.11 |
| M14 | Annecy · Away21 Nov 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.22 | −13.33 |
| M15 | Laval · Home25 Nov 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.53 | −14.87 |
| M16 | Saint-Étienne · Away13 Dec 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.22 | −14.65 |
| M17 | Grenoble · Home3 Jan 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.39 | −13.25 |
| M18 | Laval · Away16 Jan 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.78 | −11.47 |
| M19 | Montpellier · Home23 Jan 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.34 | −12.81 |
| M20 | Nancy · Home30 Jan 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.61 | −13.42 |
| M21 | Reims · Away6 Feb 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.15 | −13.27 |
| M22 | Troyes · Home16 Feb 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.31 | −13.58 |
| M23 | Dunkerque · Away20 Feb 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.06 | −13.63 |
| M24 | Annecy · Home27 Feb 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.48 | −15.11 |
| M25 | Pau FC · Away6 Mar 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.27 | −15.38 |
| M26 | Boulogne · Home13 Mar 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.73 | −17.11 |
| M27 | Rodez · Away20 Mar 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.23 | −17.35 |
| M28 | Amiens · Home3 Apr 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.85 | −18.20 |
| M29 | Red Star · Away11 Apr 2026 | L 3-4 | 0 | −0.97 | −19.17 |
| M30 | Saint-Étienne · Home18 Apr 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.06 | −17.11 |
| M31 | Clermont · Away24 Apr 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.38 | −17.49 |
| M32 | Guingamp · Away2 May 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.81 | −15.68 |
| M33 | Le Mans · Home9 May 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.16 | −16.85 |
| Total | 28 | −16.85 | |||