Points
43Points expected by the market
49.39Gap
−6.39Yield
−22.6%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 13 | 15 | −6.96 | −58.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 19 | 28 | +2.23 | +10.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 0 | −1.66 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 12 | 12 | −8.25 | −70.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 10 | +2.98 | +43.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.29 | +92.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 18 | −0.75 | −1.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 0 | −1.66 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Clermont · Home9 Aug 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.58 | −0.58 |
| M2 | Annecy · Away16 Aug 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.46 | −1.04 |
| M3 | Nancy · Home22 Aug 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.45 | −2.50 |
| M4 | Troyes · Home29 Aug 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.59 | −0.90 |
| M5 | Grenoble · Away13 Sep 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.47 | −2.37 |
| M6 | Le Mans · Home19 Sep 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.76 | −3.13 |
| M7 | Guingamp · Away23 Sep 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.31 | −4.43 |
| M8 | Amiens · Home27 Sep 2025 | W 6-2 | 3 | +1.15 | −3.28 |
| M9 | Bastia · Away3 Oct 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.23 | −3.51 |
| M10 | Montpellier · Home18 Oct 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.59 | −5.10 |
| M11 | Pau FC · Away24 Oct 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.74 | −3.36 |
| M12 | Red Star · Home28 Oct 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.47 | −1.89 |
| M13 | Reims · Away1 Nov 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.90 | +0.01 |
| M14 | Boulogne · Home7 Nov 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.96 | −0.95 |
| M15 | Rodez · Away21 Nov 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.37 | −1.31 |
| M16 | Saint-Étienne · Home6 Dec 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.61 | +0.30 |
| M17 | Laval · Away12 Dec 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.46 | +1.75 |
| M18 | Montpellier · Away5 Jan 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.76 | +3.51 |
| M19 | Pau FC · Home16 Jan 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.18 | +4.68 |
| M20 | Le Mans · Away26 Jan 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.28 | +3.40 |
| M21 | Annecy · Home31 Jan 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.67 | +1.73 |
| M22 | Guingamp · Home6 Feb 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.56 | +1.17 |
| M23 | Amiens · Away13 Feb 2026 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.29 | +2.46 |
| M24 | Bastia · Home20 Feb 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.64 | +1.82 |
| M25 | Clermont · Away27 Feb 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.41 | +0.41 |
| M26 | Reims · Home9 Mar 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.24 | +0.17 |
| M27 | Red Star · Away14 Mar 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.23 | −1.06 |
| M28 | Troyes · Away21 Mar 2026 | L 1-5 | 0 | −0.92 | −1.98 |
| M29 | Rodez · Home3 Apr 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.56 | −2.54 |
| M30 | Saint-Étienne · Away11 Apr 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.74 | −3.28 |
| M31 | Laval · Home20 Apr 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.61 | −4.89 |
| M32 | Boulogne · Away27 Apr 2026 | W 6-2 | 3 | +1.57 | −3.32 |
| M33 | Grenoble · Home2 May 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.64 | −4.97 |
| M34 | Nancy · Away9 May 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.42 | −6.39 |
| Total | 43 | −6.39 | |||