Points
39Points expected by the market
38.10Gap
+0.90Yield
−25.8%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.30 | +96.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 19 | 25 | +1.23 | −8.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 14 | 11 | −1.63 | −58.6% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.30 | +96.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 19 | +2.42 | −10.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 3 | +0.23 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 6 | −1.19 | −3.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 11 | 8 | −1.87 | −47.3% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Troyes · Away9 Aug 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.97 | −0.97 |
| M2 | Laval · Home15 Aug 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.33 | −1.31 |
| M3 | Clermont · Away22 Aug 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.12 | −2.43 |
| M4 | Saint-Étienne · Away30 Aug 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.36 | −2.07 |
| M5 | Dunkerque · Home13 Sep 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.76 | −0.31 |
| M6 | Annecy · Home19 Sep 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.49 | −1.80 |
| M7 | Le Mans · Away23 Sep 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.00 | −2.79 |
| M8 | Bastia · Home26 Sep 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.22 | −3.01 |
| M9 | Reims · Away4 Oct 2025 | W 4-2 | 3 | +2.29 | −0.72 |
| M10 | Pau FC · Home17 Oct 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.24 | −0.96 |
| M11 | Red Star · Away24 Oct 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.92 | −1.89 |
| M12 | Guingamp · Home28 Oct 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.27 | −2.16 |
| M13 | Amiens · Away1 Nov 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.55 | −0.61 |
| M14 | Rodez · Home7 Nov 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.53 | +0.93 |
| M15 | Boulogne · Away21 Nov 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.18 | −0.25 |
| M16 | Nancy · Home5 Dec 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.76 | +1.51 |
| M17 | Montpellier · Home13 Dec 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.11 | +1.40 |
| M18 | Bastia · Away3 Jan 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.09 | +0.31 |
| M19 | Red Star · Home17 Jan 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.24 | −0.93 |
| M20 | Pau FC · Away23 Jan 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.12 | −0.82 |
| M21 | Amiens · Home30 Jan 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.30 | +0.49 |
| M22 | Annecy · Away6 Feb 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.06 | +0.55 |
| M23 | Reims · Home14 Feb 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.07 | +0.61 |
| M24 | Nancy · Away20 Feb 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.01 | +0.60 |
| M25 | Boulogne · Home27 Feb 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.28 | +0.32 |
| M26 | Rodez · Away6 Mar 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.08 | −0.76 |
| M27 | Saint-Étienne · Home14 Mar 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.12 | −0.64 |
| M28 | Laval · Away20 Mar 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.28 | −1.92 |
| M29 | Clermont · Home3 Apr 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.41 | −2.32 |
| M30 | Guingamp · Away10 Apr 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.13 | −2.19 |
| M31 | Montpellier · Away17 Apr 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.83 | −3.02 |
| M32 | Le Mans · Home25 Apr 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.05 | −2.97 |
| M33 | Dunkerque · Away2 May 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.92 | −1.06 |
| M34 | Troyes · Home9 May 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.96 | +0.90 |
| Total | 39 | +0.90 | |||