Points
40Points expected by the market
49.16Gap
−9.16Yield
−20.9%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 12 | 17 | −4.26 | −41.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 18 | 17 | −7.43 | −42.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 6 | +2.53 | +140.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 13 | −4.94 | −48.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 10 | +0.14 | +9.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 4 | +0.69 | −6.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 7 | −7.57 | −76.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 6 | +2.53 | +140.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Le Mans · Home9 Aug 2025 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.73 | −0.73 |
| M2 | Reims · Away16 Aug 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.10 | −1.83 |
| M3 | Red Star · Home23 Aug 2025 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.60 | −3.42 |
| M4 | Bastia · Away30 Aug 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +2.10 | −1.33 |
| M5 | Montpellier · Home15 Sep 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.68 | +0.35 |
| M6 | Troyes · Away20 Sep 2025 | L 2-5 | 0 | −0.96 | −0.61 |
| M7 | Dunkerque · Home23 Sep 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.58 | +0.97 |
| M8 | Saint-Étienne · Away27 Sep 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +2.27 | +3.24 |
| M9 | Nancy · Home3 Oct 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.48 | +2.75 |
| M10 | Boulogne · Away17 Oct 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.40 | +2.36 |
| M11 | Clermont · Home24 Oct 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.98 | +0.38 |
| M12 | Grenoble · Away28 Oct 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.44 | −0.06 |
| M13 | Laval · Home31 Oct 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.15 | +1.09 |
| M14 | Pau FC · Home8 Nov 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.68 | +0.40 |
| M15 | Amiens · Away22 Nov 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.25 | +1.66 |
| M16 | Annecy · Home5 Dec 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.59 | +0.07 |
| M17 | Rodez · Away12 Dec 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.28 | −1.20 |
| M18 | Boulogne · Home3 Jan 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.25 | +0.04 |
| M19 | Nancy · Away19 Jan 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.64 | +1.69 |
| M20 | Troyes · Home24 Jan 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.64 | +3.33 |
| M21 | Montpellier · Away30 Jan 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.24 | +2.08 |
| M22 | Dunkerque · Away6 Feb 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.15 | +1.94 |
| M23 | Saint-Étienne · Home14 Feb 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.40 | +0.54 |
| M24 | Le Mans · Away23 Feb 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.37 | +0.17 |
| M25 | Rodez · Home28 Feb 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.82 | −0.66 |
| M26 | Laval · Away6 Mar 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.57 | −1.22 |
| M27 | Amiens · Home13 Mar 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.94 | −0.29 |
| M28 | Reims · Home21 Mar 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.36 | −1.65 |
| M29 | Annecy · Away3 Apr 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.37 | −3.02 |
| M30 | Grenoble · Home10 Apr 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.88 | −3.90 |
| M31 | Pau FC · Away17 Apr 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.49 | −5.39 |
| M32 | Red Star · Away24 Apr 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.87 | −6.26 |
| M33 | Bastia · Home2 May 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.52 | −7.78 |
| M34 | Clermont · Away9 May 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.38 | −9.16 |
| Total | 40 | −9.16 | |||